Dunkerque vs Bastia: match statistics
Dunkerque are the clear favourite for this match, occupying 5th place in the table with an impressive 42% win rate at home. The hosts display solid offensive performance, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per match at their ground, and their xG (1.3) outperforms their opponents' xG (1.16). Bastia are in a difficult position in 18th place, with just a 9% win rate away from home and an alarming rate of 82% of matches without a goal scored as visitors. The away side scores on average only 0.36 goals on the road with a shot conversion rate of just 4%, indicating serious offensive issues. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Dunkerque in home matches vs -6 for Bastia in away matches) and the form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favour the hosts. All key statistical indicators point to a certain victory for Dunkerque, although Bastia's solid away defence (36% clean sheets) could limit the margin of defeat.
Dunkerque vs Bastia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dunkerque played Bastia in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Dunkerque: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Bastia: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dunkerque scores 1.70 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Bastia scores 0.48 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dunkerque 57%, Bastia 22%. Over 2.5: Dunkerque 57%, Bastia 17%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Dunkerque has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.21. Dunkerque: 10.6 shots per match, Bastia: 11.1.
Match halves
Dunkerque: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.87. Bastia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
Dunkerque: 46-60 (10 goals). Bastia: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dunkerque are the clear favourite for this match, occupying 5th place in the table with an impressive 42% win rate at home. The hosts display solid offensive performance, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per match at their ground, and their xG (1.3) outperforms their opponents' xG (1.16). Bastia are in a difficult position in 18th place, with just a 9% win rate away from home and an alarming rate of 82% of matches without a goal scored as visitors. The away side scores on average only 0.36 goals on the road with a shot conversion rate of just 4%, indicating serious offensive issues. The difference in goal difference (+8 for Dunkerque in home matches vs -6 for Bastia in away matches) and the form over the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favour the hosts. All key statistical indicators point to a certain victory for Dunkerque, although Bastia's solid away defence (36% clean sheets) could limit the margin of defeat.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dunkerque | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dunkerque is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dunkerque · 1.2 pts / match - Bastia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dunkerque is 254% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - Dunkerque · 0.48 goals / match - Bastia
Dunkerque scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Bastia keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
Bastia scores in 35% of matches (8 of 23 matches), while Dunkerque keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dunkerque
Over / Under - Bastia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dunkerque is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Dunkerque · 1 pts / match - Bastia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dunkerque - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bastia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dunkerque
Bastia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Dunkerque | Liga | Bastia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.48 | ▼ 1.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dunkerque 0 - 1 - 0 Bastia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dunkerque vs Bastia?
The Ligue 2 match finished Dunkerque 1:1 Bastia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dunkerque vs Bastia?
Dunkerque score 1.70 goals per game on average and Bastia 0.48. The Ligue 2 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Dunkerque's matches and 22% of Bastia's.
What form are Dunkerque and Bastia in?
Over the last 5 games Dunkerque have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bastia 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dunkerque vs Bastia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.