Durango vs Morelia: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Durango vs Morelia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Durango play Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 1 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Current form
Durango: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Morelia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Durango scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Morelia scores 1.79 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Durango 29%, Morelia 71%. Over 2.5: Durango 36%, Morelia 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.54. Durango: 12.4 shots per match, Morelia: 15.9.
Match halves
Durango: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Morelia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Durango: 61-75 (6 goals). Morelia: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Durango | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Durango is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Durango · 1 pts / match - Morelia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Durango · 1.79 goals / match - Morelia
Durango is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Durango · 1.14 goals / match - Morelia
Durango scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
Morelia scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Durango
Over / Under - Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Durango · 1.71 pts / match - Morelia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Durango - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Durango
Morelia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Durango | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 60% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 83% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Durango and Morelia play?
Durango face Morelia on 1 November 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Francisco Zarco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Durango vs Morelia?
Durango score 1.29 goals per game on average and Morelia 1.79. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Durango's matches and 71% of Morelia's.
What form are Durango and Morelia in?
Over the last 5 games Durango have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Morelia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Durango vs Morelia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.