Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: match statistics
Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Durban City played Mamelodi Sundowns in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Durban City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mamelodi Sundowns: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Durban City scores 0.91 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Mamelodi Sundowns scores 1.86 and concedes 0.55. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Durban City 18%, Mamelodi Sundowns 50%. Over 2.5: Durban City 14%, Mamelodi Sundowns 36%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Mamelodi Sundowns has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.26. Durban City: 10.9 shots per match, Mamelodi Sundowns: 14.1.
Match halves
Durban City: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.68. Mamelodi Sundowns: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Durban City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mamelodi Sundowns: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Mamelodi Sundowns win: the visitors sit 1st with a season record of 16 wins, 5 draws and only 1 loss, while Durban City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses. In the last 5 matches Sundowns scored 12 goals and average 2.4 points per game, whereas Durban scored 4 goals and average 1.6 points per game, clearly underlining the visitors’ attacking superiority. Away, the visitors average 13.27 shots (4.0 on target), 71% possession and xG 1.63, while the hosts at home average 12.45 shots (3.73 on target), 47% possession and xG 1.40 — Sundowns therefore create more and better chances. Durban do, however, have a solid home defence: only 0.55 goals conceded per game, 55% clean sheets and 64% home win rate, which can hinder a large-margin victory for the visitors. Considering Sundowns’ 41 goals versus the hosts’ 20 this season along with superior xG and form (12 vs 4 goals in the last 5), I give the visitors the higher probability, with a moderate chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
xG and average goals analysis indicates both teams have realistic scoring chances: the home side have xG_for 1.87 versus the visitors' xG_against 0.87 (difference +1.00), and the visitors have xG_for 1.63 versus the home xG_against 0.91 (difference +0.72), suggesting chance creation at both ends. Durban City average 2.55 goals at home this season, but have scored only 0.8 goals in their last 5 matches, while Mamelodi Sundowns have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game), so the visitors are in good attacking form. Counter signals include 55% clean sheets for Sundowns away and a low league BTTS value of 37%, which supports a No Goal scenario. Additionally, the hosts average 6.45 shots on target and a high conversion rate of 17% versus the visitors' 4.0 shots on target and 9% conversion, so Durban have the tools to score. Overall, xG signals, the hosts' seasonal 64% BTTS and Sundowns' strong scoring form favor a both teams to score outcome, therefore I assess BTTS at 60% vs 40% and recommend 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: home base is (1.87 + 0.87)/2 = 1.37, away base is (1.63 + 0.91)/2 = 1.27; factoring in Durban’s higher finishing rate (17% vs 9% Mamelodi) and the season home goals average of 2.55, I adjust the projection to 1.50 for Durban and 1.20 for Mamelodi, totaling 2.70 expected goals. A Poisson distribution for total lambda = 2.70 indicates roughly a 50% chance of Over 2.5 and ~29% for Over 3.5, however historical Over1.5 rates are strong: Durban has Over1.5 in 91% of home matches, Mamelodi 64% away. Combining xG signals, shot efficiency and seasonal stats (with greater weight on home form) yields estimates of Over1.5 ≈ 78%, Over2.5 ≈ 52% and Over3.5 ≈ 29%. Additionally Durban records Over2.5 in 64% of season matches, while Mamelodi only 9% and keep 55% clean sheets, which increases uncertainty on higher lines and confirms Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Durban City possesses very strong home statistics: they win 91% of home matches and have no home defeats (0%), scoring an average of 2.55 goals per match with an xG of 1.87; in the first half they average 1.18 goals and lead at the break in 64% of games. Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in good form (4 wins in their last 5 matches, last5_winPercentage_overall_away 80%), but their away creative metrics are weaker: xG 1.63 and 4.0 on-target shots versus the hosts’ 6.45 SOT, and they score an average of 0.45 goals in the first half. Additionally, the home side frequently scores after the break — in 91% of their matches there is at least 0.5 goals in the second half (over05_2hg_percentage_home 91%) — and they have a higher shot conversion rate 17% vs 9%, which increases the chance of maintaining a lead. Considering they lead at the break in 64% of matches and their overall home dominance (91% wins), the most likely scenario is 1/1 (I assigned 45%), with x/1 (20%) as the primary alternative; scenarios starting with the visitors leading are practically negligible, since Durban City were not trailing at half-time at home (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Durban City | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Durban City · 3 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 104% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Durban City · 1.86 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Mamelodi Sundowns is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Durban City · 0.55 goals / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Durban City scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Mamelodi Sundowns keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
Mamelodi Sundowns scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Durban City keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Durban City
Over / Under - Mamelodi Sundowns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mamelodi Sundowns is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Durban City · 1.82 pts / match - Mamelodi Sundowns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Durban City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mamelodi Sundowns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Durban City
Mamelodi Sundowns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Durban City | Liga | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.59 | 1.99 | ▲ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 18% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 37% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 41% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Durban City 0 - 0 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Durban City 0:1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Durban City score 0.91 goals per game on average and Mamelodi Sundowns 1.86. The Premier Soccer League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Durban City's matches and 50% of Mamelodi Sundowns's.
What form are Durban City and Mamelodi Sundowns in?
Over the last 5 games Durban City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mamelodi Sundowns 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The statistical background for Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.