Durban City vs Richards Bay: match statistics

Both teams began the season with a defeat, with Durban City losing 0:1 and Richards Bay 1:2. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored just 1 goal and conceded 4, while the visitors have been slightly more effective with 3 goals, but have allowed 5. Richards Bay have shared the points more frequently during this period, drawing 3 of their 5 matches, whereas Durban City have recorded 2 draws. Neither team has won any of their last five fixtures, and their points-per-match averages stand at 0.4 and 0.6 respectively, indicating a very evenly matched and cautious encounter. The visitors’ marginally greater attacking output offsets Durban City’s home advantage, making a draw the most likely outcome.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Durban City have scored just 0.2 goals per match across their last 5 games, finding the net only once in total, while Richards Bay have averaged 0.6 goals. BTTS has landed in only 20% of the hosts’ last five fixtures, and although the figure stands at 60% for the visitors, their low scoring average limits the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Durban City have recently created chances worth only 0.68 xG, while Richards Bay have recorded 1.27 xG, but both teams remain below one goal scored per match on average. In the league, BTTS has landed in 43% of matches, while as many as 71% of games have ended with at least one clean sheet, further supporting the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Durban City’s last five matches produced an average of just 0.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Richards Bay averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Only 20% of the last five matches involving either team went over 2.5 goals, with the league average standing at just 2.14 goals per match. The chance-creation potential is not high: Durban City’s xG over the last five matches was 0.68, compared with 1.27 for Richards Bay. Despite both sides’ defensive weaknesses, this still points to a moderate total goal tally. The Under 3.5 goals selection is best supported by the low scoring efficiency of both teams and provides a margin for results such as 1:1 or 2:1.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at the final whistle, as both teams were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches. During this period, Durban City failed to score before half-time and conceded an average of just 0.4 goals, while Richards Bay scored 0.2 goals and also conceded 0.2 goals in the first halves. This confirms a cautious early-match profile: only 2 of each team’s last 5 matches featured at least one goal before the break, with no match producing two or more goals. A tendency towards a points split is also evident after half-time, with Durban City drawing the second half in 80% of matches and Richards Bay in 60%. The visitors have been marginally more consistent across their last five fixtures, drawing 60% of their matches compared with 40% for the hosts, further strengthening the no-result scenario.