Durban City vs Stellenbosch: match statistics
Durban City vs Stellenbosch: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Durban City played Stellenbosch in Premier Soccer League (South Africa). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Durban City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Stellenbosch: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Durban City scores 0.93 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Stellenbosch scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Durban City 26%, Stellenbosch 48%. Over 2.5: Durban City 19%, Stellenbosch 30%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Stellenbosch has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.28. Durban City: 10.8 shots per match, Stellenbosch: 10.3.
Match halves
Durban City: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.63. Stellenbosch: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Durban City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Stellenbosch: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Soccer League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Durban City have a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.08 goals scored and concede only 0.62 goals per game, with a 54% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +6. Stellenbosch on the road average 0.77 goals scored and concede 1.00 goals per game, have only a 23% away win rate and a negative goal differential of -3. In terms of chance quality the hosts also edge it — home xG is 1.34 versus 1.21 xG for the visitors away, average shots 11.92 versus 10.08 and shots on target 3.54 versus 3.00, indicating greater threat creation by Durban City. Both teams have been inconsistent over the last five matches: Durban City scored 7 and conceded 10, earning an average of 1.0 point per game, while Stellenbosch scored 5 and conceded 7, averaging 0.8 points per game. Considering the lower share of goalless games for the hosts (23% vs 38% for the visitors) and Durban City’s 46% clean sheet rate at home, I assess a home win as most likely; proposed probabilities are 60% home, 22% draw and 18% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Team indicators favor BTTS: Durban City has a season BTTS rate of 43% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Stellenbosch records 54% for the season and 60% in the last 5. Both sides regularly concede — Durban City averages 1.21 goals conceded per match this season and 2.0 in the last 5 (10 conceded), and Stellenbosch 1.0 for the season and 1.4 in the last 5 (7 conceded). xG supports an exchange of chances: xG for Durban City is 1.39 versus 1.21 for Stellenbosch, and xG against are 1.27 and 1.30 respectively, giving a combined expected xG around 2.6, above the league average of 2.03. Additionally, Durban City averages 3.79 shots on target per match versus 3.0 for their opponents, and season goals stand at 25 scored and 25 conceded for Durban City against 24 scored and 30 conceded for Stellenbosch; clean sheets occur in only 21% and 23% of matches, reducing the likelihood of No Goal. Considering the high BTTS in the last 5 matches (80% and 60%), poor recent defensive figures and combined xG ~2.6, I project 68% for 'Yes' (BTTS) and 32% for 'No' as the most justified outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals were estimated using xG: Durban City generates on average xG 1.39, while Stellenbosch’s defense concedes xG 1.30, yielding a 1.35 goal forecast for the home side; similarly Stellenbosch has xG 1.21 and Durban’s defense concedes 1.27 xG, giving 1.24 for the away team, total = 2.59. A Poisson distribution with parameter 2.59 implies probability of Over 1.5 around 73%, Over 2.5 around 48% and Over 3.5 around 26% (hence Under respectively 27%, 52% and 74%). Seasonal and form data confirm this: percentage of matches above 0.5 is 93% for Durban and 85% for Stellenbosch, and Over1.5 this season is 64%/62%, while the league averages 2.03 goals per match, so the projected 2.59 is clearly above the league average. In the last 5 matches Durban scored 7 and conceded 10 goals (avg 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded), and Stellenbosch 5 and 7 (1.0 and 1.4); additionally Durban has Over2.5 in the last 5 matches at 60% and BTTS 80%, which increases the likelihood of at least 2 goals. Therefore the strongest data signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side 'over') with an estimated probability of 73% — Over 2.5 is essentially a coin-flip signal (48%), and Over 3.5 remains unlikely (26%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). A half-time draw emerges as the most frequent outcome based on HT data: Durban City recorded a half-time draw in 29% of matches and Stellenbosch in 46%, yielding an average of about a 37.5% probability of a draw at the break. For full-time, the home side has 36% wins while away teams lose 38% of their away games, together implying roughly a 37% chance of a home victory; additionally, the home xG of 1.39 versus 1.21 for the visitors and 3.79 on-target shots for the hosts versus 3.00 indicate a slight offensive edge for Durban. Second-half performance is also important — in the last five matches hosts earned an average of 1.6 points after the break versus 1.0 for visitors, while hosts averaged 0.6 goals by half-time and conceded 1.4 (last five), suggesting the possibility of a turnaround after an HT draw; therefore X/1 receives the strongest signal (approximately 14% in a simple multiplicative distribution).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Durban City | Stellenbosch | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stellenbosch is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Durban City · 0.8 pts / match - Stellenbosch
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Durban City is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Durban City · 1.11 goals / match - Stellenbosch
Durban City scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Stellenbosch keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Stellenbosch scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Durban City keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Durban City
Over / Under - Stellenbosch
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Durban City is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Durban City · 0.81 pts / match - Stellenbosch
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Durban City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stellenbosch - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Durban City
Stellenbosch
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Durban City | Liga | Stellenbosch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.85 | 2.03 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 36% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Durban City 0 - 1 - 0 Stellenbosch. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Durban City vs Stellenbosch?
The Premier Soccer League match finished Durban City 0:0 Stellenbosch. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Durban City vs Stellenbosch?
Durban City score 0.93 goals per game on average and Stellenbosch 0.89. The Premier Soccer League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Durban City's matches and 48% of Stellenbosch's.
What form are Durban City and Stellenbosch in?
Over the last 5 games Durban City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Stellenbosch 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Durban City vs Stellenbosch?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Durban City vs Stellenbosch: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.