Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga: match statistics
Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Džiugas Telšiai played Banga in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 19 July 2026. Venue: Telšių centrinis stadionas. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Džiugas Telšiai: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Banga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Džiugas Telšiai scores 1.48 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Banga scores 1.48 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Džiugas Telšiai 43%, Banga 33%. Over 2.5: Džiugas Telšiai 48%, Banga 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Banga has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.28. Džiugas Telšiai: 11.6 shots per match, Banga: 12.1.
Match halves
Džiugas Telšiai: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00. Banga: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Džiugas Telšiai: 61-75 (9 goals). Banga: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-2. Average goals 0.83, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Banga sits 2nd in the table vs Džiugas in 4th and shows markedly better form: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals, while Džiugas has failed to win in those five fixtures (0-3-2) and scored only 3 goals. Offensively Banga creates more high-quality situations — away they average 4.45 shots on target and have xG 1.49, whereas Džiugas at home records 3.33 shots on target and xG 1.23; the hosts do have a higher conversion rate (13% vs 9%) but generate fewer chances. Defensively Banga’s advantage is clear: the visitors concede only 0.45 goals per away game on average and keep 55% clean sheets, while Džiugas concedes 1.08 goals per home game and has 50% clean sheets. Additionally Banga averages 2.6 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 0.6 for Džiugas, and in those five games conceded only 1 goal compared to the hosts’ 5. Considering the superior xG (1.49 vs 1.23), higher number of shots on target (4.45 vs 3.33) and significantly tighter defense (0.45 vs 1.08 goals conceded), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports a “No” scenario — I estimate 35% chance for BTTS and 65% for No Goal. Banga has 55% clean sheets this season and concedes 0.45 goals per match on average, with only 0.2 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (1 goal in 5), which significantly lowers the likelihood of both teams scoring. Džiugas averages 1.9 goals per match season-to-date and has season BTTS 50%, but in the last 5 matches he scored only 3 goals (0.6 per match) and conceded 5 goals (1.0 per match), so his ability to guarantee a goal is weakened. Additionally Banga has a low season BTTS of 18% (20% in the last 5), and the league features a high clean sheet rate of 64%, which further favors a No Goal outcome. Although xG shows 1.29 for Džiugas and 1.49 for Banga, suggesting offensive potential on both sides, the visitors’ consistent defense gives the edge to No — so I pick BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields expected goals: home offensive xG 1.29 and xG against for visitors 1.08 produce 1.19 expected goals for Džiugas, while visitors’ xG 1.49 and xG against for hosts 1.36 produce 1.42 for Banga, totaling 2.61. The Poisson distribution for lambda=2.61 indicates probability of over 1.5 goals around 73%, over 2.5 around 48% and over 3.5 around 27%. Seasonal metrics confirm a tendency toward at least two goals: hosts have 80% of matches with over 1.5 goals, visitors 36%, and hosts have a higher shot conversion 16% versus visitors’ 9%. At the same time visitors kept a clean sheet in 55% of games, which limits the likelihood of a very high-scoring outcome and explains why Over 2.5 is only marginally below 50%. As a result the strongest signal is an Over at the 1.5 line, since the model (2.61 goals, ~73% for Over 1.5) together with seasonal figures and form favor at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time analysis indicates the home side leads at the break in 40% of matches (leadingAtHTPercentage_home = 40), scoring an average of 0.9 goals before halftime versus 0.36 for the visitors (scoredAVGHT_home = 0.9 vs scoredAVGHT_away = 0.36), which favors a home lead in the first half. Over the full match the home team also posts higher goals per game, 1.9 versus 1.09 (seasonScoredAVG_home = 1.9 vs seasonScoredAVG_away = 1.09), and a superior shot conversion rate of 16% compared to 9% (shot_conversion_rate_home = 16.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_away = 9.0), and their second-half performance is strong (wins_2hg_percentage_home = 60%), so retaining the lead is likely. The away side, however, carry an excellent run in their last five matches (form_l5_away = "dwwww", last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 80%) and a higher xG of 1.49 versus the home 1.29 (xg_for_avg_away = 1.49 vs xg_for_avg_home = 1.29), which increases the probability of a turnaround after halftime. Considering the balance—40% chance of a home lead at halftime, their superior efficiency and the visitors’ low BTTS rate (seasonBTTSPercentage_away = 18%)—the most probable scenario is 1/1 (home lead at Half-Time and home win at Full-Time), hence I assign it the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Džiugas Telšiai | Banga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Banga is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 2.6 pts / match - Banga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Banga is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 0.67 goals / match - Banga
Džiugas Telšiai scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Banga keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
Banga scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Džiugas Telšiai keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Džiugas Telšiai
Over / Under - Banga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Banga is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 1.38 pts / match - Banga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Džiugas Telšiai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Banga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Džiugas Telšiai | Liga | Banga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 32% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 68% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Džiugas Telšiai 3 - 1 - 2 Banga. Average goals 0.83, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga?
The A Lyga match finished Džiugas Telšiai 1:0 Banga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Džiugas Telšiai and Banga?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Džiugas Telšiai won 3, Banga won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga?
Džiugas Telšiai score 1.48 goals per game on average and Banga 1.48. The A Lyga average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Džiugas Telšiai's matches and 33% of Banga's.
What form are Džiugas Telšiai and Banga in?
Over the last 5 games Džiugas Telšiai have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Banga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Džiugas Telšiai vs Banga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.