Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris: match statistics
Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Džiugas Telšiai played Kauno Žalgiris in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 3 July 2026. Venue: Telšių centrinis stadionas. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Džiugas Telšiai: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kauno Žalgiris: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Džiugas Telšiai scores 1.55 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Kauno Žalgiris scores 1.95 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Džiugas Telšiai 45%, Kauno Žalgiris 53%. Over 2.5: Džiugas Telšiai 50%, Kauno Žalgiris 63%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.32. Džiugas Telšiai: 11.8 shots per match, Kauno Žalgiris: 14.9.
Match halves
Džiugas Telšiai: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.05. Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Džiugas Telšiai: 61-75 (9 goals). Kauno Žalgiris: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-4. Average goals 2.83, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Kauno Žalgiris (2) win because the visitors have a clear offensive advantage: on average 2.11 goals scored away versus 1.64 for the home side and higher xG 1.73 vs 1.29. Kauno Žalgiris averages 15.22 shots and 5.33 on target per away match, while Džiugas at home records 11.91 shots and 3.55 on target, resulting in more clear chances for the visitors. Although the hosts have more clean sheets at home (45% vs 22% for the visitors) and their opponents generate 1.06 xG on average against them, in practice Džiugas concedes 1.18 goals per home match, while Žalgiris concedes only 1.00 away. In the last 5 matches Džiugas scored 7 and conceded 8, averaging 1.0 point per game, whereas Žalgiris have a goal record of 6–4 and about 1.4 points per game, and additionally have zero away matches without scoring (0% matches without a goal). Considering the xG advantage (1.73 vs 1.29), higher shots on target (5.33 vs 3.55), possession (65% vs 53%) and better recent points return, I estimate the probability of a visitors’ win at around 50%, draw 25% and home win 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - Yes at 70% vs 30%, primarily due to a very high combined goal average: Džiugas scores 1.8 goals per game, Kauno Žalgiris 2.11, totaling 3.91 goals per game, significantly above the league average of 2.61. Expected goals confirm this: xG 1.68 for the home side and 1.73 for the visitors (3.41 xG combined), indicating real potential for goal exchanges. Strong support for BTTS comes from Kauno Žalgiris’s season stats — BTTS 78% and over 2.5 goals 78%, with a combined over 2.5 + BTTS rate of 56% for the visitors, while the home side has a season BTTS of only 30%. Countering this is the home team’s high season clean sheet rate of 50%, but in the last 5 matches Džiugas had BTTS 80% and conceded on average 1.6 goals per game, weakening the clean sheet argument. Additionally, the visitors average 5.33 shots on target and 15.22 shots overall with a 14% conversion rate, while the home side records 4.8 shots on target, 14.7 shots overall and a 12% conversion, increasing the likelihood of a Kauno Žalgiris goal and the BTTS scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG give 1.45 expected goals for Džiugas (home xG_for 1.68 vs opponents' average xG_against Kauno Žalgiris 1.21) and 1.39 for Kauno Žalgiris (away xG_for 1.73 vs hosts' average xG_against 1.05), totaling 2.84 expected goals. This is above the league average of 2.61 and consistent with seasonal figures: hosts score 1.8 goals per match on average, visitors 2.11 per match. Season percentages show over 1.5 in 60% of hosts' matches and 100% of visitors' matches, while over 2.5 occurred in 50% of hosts' games and 78% of visitors' games, which further supports a more-than-1.5-goals scenario. A Poisson distribution for a mean of 2.84 yields about a 78% chance of over 1.5, ~54% for over 2.5 and ~32% for over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal from the data is over 1.5. Based on this, I recommend taking the Over side at the 1.5 line as the most probable and strongest option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side are strong in the first half: they led at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHT_home = 5; 50%) and average 1.1 goals by half-time while conceding just 0.1 (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.1, concededAVGHT_home = 0.1), with a 90% clean sheet rate at the break. The away team have better overall season metrics (56% wins and 2.11 goals per game vs the home 1.8, with xG 1.73 vs 1.68), but their advantage is mainly after the break: they score on average 1.33 goals in the second half and win second halves in 67% of cases (scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.33, wins_2hg_percentage_away = 67%). If the home side lead 1-0 at half-time, expected second-half goals are 0.7 for the home team vs 1.33 for the away team (scored_2hg_avg_home = 0.7 vs scored_2hg_avg_away = 1.33), yielding an expected final score of approximately 1.7–1.33, i.e. a small remaining advantage for the home side (+0.37 goals). For these reasons the strongest signal is the 1/1 scenario (home leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) — I assign it a 28% probability, while explicitly accounting for a meaningful risk of an away comeback (X/2 = 20% and 1/2 = 13%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Džiugas Telšiai | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Džiugas Telšiai is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 0.8 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 1.95 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 0.84 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Džiugas Telšiai scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Džiugas Telšiai keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Džiugas Telšiai
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Džiugas Telšiai · 1.63 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Džiugas Telšiai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Džiugas Telšiai | Liga | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 31% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Džiugas Telšiai 1 - 1 - 4 Kauno Žalgiris. Average goals 2.83, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The A Lyga match finished Džiugas Telšiai 0:0 Kauno Žalgiris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Džiugas Telšiai and Kauno Žalgiris?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Džiugas Telšiai won 1, Kauno Žalgiris won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Džiugas Telšiai score 1.55 goals per game on average and Kauno Žalgiris 1.95. The A Lyga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Džiugas Telšiai's matches and 53% of Kauno Žalgiris's.
What form are Džiugas Telšiai and Kauno Žalgiris in?
Over the last 5 games Džiugas Telšiai have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kauno Žalgiris 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Džiugas Telšiai vs Kauno Žalgiris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.