East Bengal vs Odisha FC: match statistics
East Bengal vs Odisha FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Bengal played Odisha FC in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 28 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
East Bengal: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Odisha FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Bengal scores 2.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Odisha FC scores 1.13 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Bengal 63%, Odisha FC 75%. Over 2.5: East Bengal 75%, Odisha FC 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
East Bengal has higher xG: 2.42 vs 1.22. East Bengal: 20.6 shots per match, Odisha FC: 10.1.
Match halves
East Bengal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Odisha FC: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
East Bengal: 76-90+ (7 goals). Odisha FC: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Bengal are the clear favorites: at home they score on average 2.71 goals and concede 1.00, with home xG of 2.38 versus opponents' 1.18 xG. Odisha away scores only 1.4 goals and concedes 2.4, with away xG 1.22 against opponents' 1.77 xG, indicating significant defensive issues on the road. The hosts create far more chances — 20.43 shots and 7.0 on target per home match versus 9.8 shots and 3.8 on target for the visitors, with a similar conversion rate (13% vs 14%). In the last 5 matches East Bengal have scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and averaged 1.8 points per game in that period, while Odisha scored 7 goals (1.4 per game) and average 0.8 points per game. Considering the superiority in quality of chances, higher xG and the fact Odisha have 0% clean sheets away and 80% away losses, I project a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong BTTS signal: East Bengal has BTTS at 67% for the season and 60% in the last 5 matches, while Odisha has 80% for the season and 80% in the last 5, yielding a historical average between them around 74%. Looking at goals scored and conceded, East Bengal averages 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded seasonally (in the last 5: 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded), and Odisha seasonally scores 1.4 and concedes 2.4 (in the last 5: 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded). Quality-of-chances metrics show both teams have season xG_for of 1.22, but Odisha has a higher xG_against of 1.77 versus East Bengal’s 1.18, and a conversion rate of 14% versus 6%; Odisha also averages 3.8 shots on target versus East Bengal’s 1.67, which favors goals from both sides. Additionally, East Bengal has 33% clean sheets this season, while Odisha has 0%—Odisha has not kept a clean sheet this season—further increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Considering average BTTS ~74%, form (East Bengal 2.8 goals in the last 5) and Odisha’s 0% clean sheets, I assign a 75% probability to BTTS - Yes and 25% to No and recommend a 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast a total goals tally of around 2.70 (home 1.50 vs away 1.20), calculated as the average of team xG and opponent xG conceded: (1.22 + 1.77)/2 ≈ 1.50 for East Bengal and (1.22 + 1.18)/2 ≈ 1.20 for Odisha. East Bengal scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches (avg 2.8 per match, last5_seasonScoredAVG_overall_home=2.8) and has a recent xG of 2.51, while Odisha concedes on average 2.4 goals this season (seasonConcededAVG_away=2.4) and has let in 9 goals in their last five away games (ga_l5_away=9), which raises the probability of goals at both ends (BTTS 67% vs 80%). Shooting metrics support this picture: SOT 3.8 for the visitors versus 1.67 for the hosts and shot conversion 14% vs 6% (shotsOnTargetAVG_away=3.8; shotsOnTargetAVG_home=1.67; shot_conversion_rate_away=14.0; shot_conversion_rate_home=6.0). With an expected total ≈2.70 the probability distribution yields ≈75% for Over 1.5, ≈51% for Over 2.5 and ≈29% for Over 3.5, therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest and most likely signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
East Bengal is in better form over the last 5 matches: they score an average of 2.8 goals per game versus Odisha’s 1.4 and concede 1.0 versus 1.8 (last5: 2.8 vs 1.4 scored, 1.0 vs 1.8 conceded). In the first half the hosts average 1.2 goals in their last 5 matches, while the visitors average 0.8, and 80% of the hosts’ matches in that period featured at least one goal by half-time (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_home 1.2 vs last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away 0.8; last5_seasonOver05PercentageHT_overall_home 80.0). Odisha concedes an average of 2.4 goals per away match on the season and has an 80% away loss rate, indicating clear vulnerability to conceding (seasonConcededAVG_away 2.4; losePercentage_away 80.0). In the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 40% of cases and were level at half-time in 40% (last5_leadingAtHTPercentage_overall_home 40.0 vs last5_drawingAtHTPercentage_overall_home 40.0), therefore I tip a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1) as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Bengal | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Bengal is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - East Bengal · 0.8 pts / match - Odisha FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Bengal is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
2.75 goals / match - East Bengal · 1.13 goals / match - Odisha FC
East Bengal is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - East Bengal · 1.75 goals / match - Odisha FC
East Bengal scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Odisha FC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Odisha FC scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while East Bengal keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Bengal
Over / Under - Odisha FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Bengal is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - East Bengal · 1.25 pts / match - Odisha FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Bengal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Odisha FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Bengal
Odisha FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| East Bengal | Liga | Odisha FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): East Bengal 0 - 0 - 2 Odisha FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Bengal vs Odisha FC?
The Indian Super League match finished East Bengal 3:0 Odisha FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Bengal and Odisha FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Bengal won 0, Odisha FC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Bengal vs Odisha FC?
East Bengal score 2.75 goals per game on average and Odisha FC 1.13. The Indian Super League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 63% of East Bengal's matches and 75% of Odisha FC's.
What form are East Bengal and Odisha FC in?
Over the last 5 games East Bengal have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Odisha FC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Bengal vs Odisha FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Bengal vs Odisha FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.