East Fife vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

East Fife played Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

East Fife: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

East Fife scores 1.18 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.94 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: East Fife 53%, Kelty Hearts 56%. Over 2.5: East Fife 47%, Kelty Hearts 78%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

East Fife has higher xG: 1.31 vs 0.95. East Fife: 9.9 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 6.7.

Match halves

East Fife: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.59. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

East Fife: 46-60 (6 goals). Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
East FifeKelty Hearts
4Shots7
East FifeKelty Hearts
3Shots on target6
East FifeKelty Hearts
0.73xG1.13
East FifeKelty Hearts
2Corners6
East FifeKelty Hearts
34Dangerous attacks36
East FifeKelty Hearts
16Fouls9
East FifeKelty Hearts
1Cards4
East FifeKelty Hearts

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

East FifeKelty Hearts
1.18Goals scored / match0.94
East FifeKelty Hearts
1.24Goals conceded / match2.33
East FifeKelty Hearts
50%Average possession51%
East FifeKelty Hearts
4.29Shots on target / match3.22
East FifeKelty Hearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.94Shots per match6.72
East FifeKelty Hearts
4.29Shots on target3.22
East FifeKelty Hearts
11.8%Shot conversion14%
East FifeKelty Hearts
50%Possession51%
East FifeKelty Hearts
1.31xG for0.95
East FifeKelty Hearts
1.19xG against1.69
East FifeKelty Hearts

Shooting quality

East Fife: BalancedKelty Hearts: Efficient finishing
East FifeKelty Hearts
Accuracy (shots on target)43%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

East Fife is 600% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - East Fife · 0.2 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

East Fife
LWDWL
Season result split
41% W24% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-6
1.47 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Kelty Hearts
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
11% W17% D72% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-13
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-5
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Fife is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - East Fife · 0.94 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

East Fife is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.24 goals / match - East Fife · 2.33 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

East Fife scoring profile: very strong

East Fife scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: strong

Kelty Hearts scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while East Fife keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).

20Goals scored (season)17
East FifeKelty Hearts
21Goals conceded (season)42
East FifeKelty Hearts
2.41Average goals in match3.28
East FifeKelty Hearts
3Goals scored (last 5)6
East FifeKelty Hearts
5Goals conceded (last 5)15
East FifeKelty Hearts

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal61%
East FifeKelty Hearts
29%2 goals33%
East FifeKelty Hearts
12%3 goals0%
East FifeKelty Hearts
0%4 goals0%
East FifeKelty Hearts

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal94%
East FifeKelty Hearts
18%2 goals78%
East FifeKelty Hearts
18%3 goals44%
East FifeKelty Hearts
12%4 goals11%
East FifeKelty Hearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time33%
East FifeKelty Hearts
0%BTTS in both halves0%
East FifeKelty Hearts
18%Scored in both halves17%
East FifeKelty Hearts

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
East FifeKelty Hearts
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS28%
East FifeKelty Hearts
20%BTTS - last 580%
East FifeKelty Hearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
East FifeKelty Hearts
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
East FifeKelty Hearts
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
East FifeKelty Hearts

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
East FifeKelty Hearts
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
East FifeKelty Hearts
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
East FifeKelty Hearts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kelty Hearts is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - East Fife · 0.94 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

East Fife - half-time state
6% leading71% draw24% trailing
Kelty Hearts - half-time state
22% leading28% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)0.94
East FifeKelty Hearts
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.56
East FifeKelty Hearts
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)1.11
East FifeKelty Hearts
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.67
East FifeKelty Hearts
47%Clean sheet before half-time17%
East FifeKelty Hearts
59%No goal before half-time56%
East FifeKelty Hearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per match (2nd half)0.56
East FifeKelty Hearts
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
East FifeKelty Hearts
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)1.22
East FifeKelty Hearts
1.12Average goals (2nd half)1.61
East FifeKelty Hearts
59%Clean sheet after half-time17%
East FifeKelty Hearts
53%No goal after half-time67%
East FifeKelty Hearts

East Fife - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding683%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

11% W22% D67% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

East Fife - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

East Fife
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
5
5
16-30
2
7
31-45
3
9
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.84
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+5%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

East Fife

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

East FifeLigaKelty Hearts
Average goals in match 2.412.55 3.28
Both teams scored 53%42% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%52% 78%
Clean sheets 24%32% 6%
Goal before half-time 59%72% 94%
Goal after half-time 76%81% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
42%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Kelty HeartsYellow cardRicco Diack
  2. Kelty HeartsGoalLewis MooreAssist: Murray Thomas
  3. East FifeSubstitutionOn: Rob JonesOff: Thomas Goss
  4. Kelty HeartsSubstitutionOn: Craig JohnstonOff: Ricco Diack
  5. East FifeSubstitutionOn: Gregor NicolOff: Liam Newton
  6. Kelty HeartsYellow cardInnes Murray
  7. Kelty HeartsYellow cardJack Brydon
  8. East FifeYellow cardMamadou Bah
  9. Kelty HeartsYellow cardLuke McCarvel

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): East Fife 2 - 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Kelty Hearts FC
0 : 3
East Fife FC
East Fife FC
2 : 1
Kelty Hearts FC

FAQ

What was the result of East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

The League One match finished East Fife 0:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between East Fife and Kelty Hearts?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Fife won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

East Fife score 1.18 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.94. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of East Fife's matches and 56% of Kelty Hearts's.

What form are East Fife and Kelty Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games East Fife have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Fife vs Kelty Hearts?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Fife vs Kelty Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.