East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: match statistics
East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride played Edinburgh City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
East Kilbride: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Edinburgh City: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 2.03 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Edinburgh City scores 1.18 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 67%, Edinburgh City 64%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 67%, Edinburgh City 64%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.19. East Kilbride: 10.0 shots per match, Edinburgh City: 9.0.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.76. Edinburgh City: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 31-45+ (20 goals). Edinburgh City: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride are league leaders (1st) with a record of 18 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses; they have scored 67 and conceded 45 goals, and at home average 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Edinburgh City sit 10th with 8 wins, 10 draws and 15 losses this season, scoring 39 and conceding 64; away they average only 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In their last 5 matches the home side have scored 7 goals (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points), while the visitors failed to score in five matches, lost all 5 and conceded 12 goals (0 points). East Kilbride generate more high-quality chances: at home they average 5.19 shots on target and 10.38 attempts per match with a 19% conversion rate and xG 1.44, while Edinburgh City away record 3.75 shots on target, 8.13 attempts per match, 14% conversion and xG 1.06. Considering the home advantage in chance creation, higher efficiency and the visitors’ dramatically poor form over the last 5 games, I forecast an East Kilbride win: 72% home win, 18% draw and 10% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
East Kilbride has BTTS in 71% of matches this season and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Edinburgh City has 56% for the season (0% in the last 5), yielding a season-average BTTS close to 63% and leaning the indication toward both teams scoring. East Kilbride concedes an average of 2.35 goals per game, and Edinburgh City concedes 1.50, with East Kilbride scoring 67 goals this season and Edinburgh City conceding 64, so conditions for mutual scoring are present. xG and shot metrics confirm this: East Kilbride xG_for 1.31 and 4.94 shots on target, Edinburgh xG_for 1.06 and 3.75 shots on target — both teams generate around 1.0 xG and real chances. Although Edinburgh haven’t scored in the last 5 matches (0 goals with last5 xG_for 1.06), this looks more like inefficiency than a lack of chances, so against an opponent that concedes 2.35 goals on average I assess the visitors have a real chance to score. Considering season BTTS 71% vs 56%, low clean sheet percentages (6% and 19%) and the league BTTS average of 63%, I estimate BTTS probability at around 70% and recommend the “Yes” (BTTS - Yes) selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model shows East Kilbride’s attack produces 1.31 xG per game and Edinburgh City 1.06 xG; accounting for xG against (1.33 for East and 1.13 for Edinburgh) yields averaged expected goals of 1.22 for the home side and 1.19 for the visitors, totaling 2.41 goals. Seasonal metrics confirm a goal-prone tendency: East has 94% of matches over 1.5 goals, Edinburgh 75%, and BTTS occurs in 71% and 56% of their games respectively. For the 2.5 line, the home team have 76% of matches over 2.5 and the visitors 50%, and additionally in their last 5 matches Edinburgh conceded 12 goals and scored none, which increases the probability of Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is less certain — hosts have 59% of matches over 3.5, visitors 19%, and the expected 2.41 goals is materially below the 3.5 threshold, so I lean to Under 3.5 (Under ~56%). The strongest signal to play is Over 1.5, because the combination of seasonal rates 94% vs 75% and the home form (7 goals in the last 5 matches) provides the strongest statistical edge for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is 2/2 (the away team leads at the break and wins the match). East Kilbride were trailing at half-time in 53% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.06 goals before the break, which favors the opponent taking a lead in the first half. Edinburgh City have superior seasonal metrics: 1.44 points per away match versus 0.65 points for the home side at home, and 38% away wins compared to only 12% home wins for East Kilbride. Additionally, the hosts concede on average 2.35 goals per match and 1.29 in the second half, while the visitors concede 0.75 in the second half and score an average of 1.13 goals per match — this increases the likelihood of the away team maintaining and extending their lead after the break. Although East Kilbride generate higher xG (1.31 vs 1.06) and register more shots on target (4.94 vs 3.75), their weak defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 2.35) makes the 2/2 scenario the strongest signal, with X/2 and 2/X as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
2.03 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.18 goals / match - Edinburgh City
East Kilbride is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.94 goals / match - Edinburgh City
East Kilbride scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 33 matches).
Edinburgh City scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Edinburgh City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.09 pts / match - Edinburgh City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Edinburgh City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Edinburgh City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.39 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): East Kilbride 1 - 2 - 0 Edinburgh City. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 4:0 Edinburgh City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Edinburgh City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 1, Edinburgh City won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
East Kilbride score 2.03 goals per game on average and Edinburgh City 1.18. The League Two average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of East Kilbride's matches and 64% of Edinburgh City's.
What form are East Kilbride and Edinburgh City in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Edinburgh City 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Edinburgh City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.