East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
East Kilbride holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 36% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts have better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per match at home with a higher xG (1.34 vs 0.99 of the visitors). Forfar Athletic has poor away form with only 20% of away matches won and 50% losses, which puts them at a disadvantage. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive (East Kilbride 0.8 PPG, Forfar 1.0 PPG), the hosts' advantage in possession (53% vs 48%) and better shooting stats speak in their favor. East Kilbride's goal difference in home matches is even (0), while Forfar has a negative away goal difference (-3), which further supports the prediction of a home win.
East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride played Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
East Kilbride: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 1.71 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 62%, Forfar Athletic 57%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 67%, Forfar Athletic 57%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.12. East Kilbride: 9.3 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.7.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.52. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 31-45+ (11 goals). Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride holds a high 2nd position in the table and displays solid home form with a 36% win rate at their own stadium. The hosts have better offensive stats, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per match at home with a higher xG (1.34 vs 0.99 of the visitors). Forfar Athletic has poor away form with only 20% of away matches won and 50% losses, which puts them at a disadvantage. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive (East Kilbride 0.8 PPG, Forfar 1.0 PPG), the hosts' advantage in possession (53% vs 48%) and better shooting stats speak in their favor. East Kilbride's goal difference in home matches is even (0), while Forfar has a negative away goal difference (-3), which further supports the prediction of a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forfar Athletic is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.43 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
East Kilbride scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Forfar Athletic scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - East Kilbride · 2 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.04 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 62% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 18% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): East Kilbride 2 - 0 - 0 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 3:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 2, Forfar Athletic won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?
East Kilbride score 1.71 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.43. The League Two average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 62% of East Kilbride's matches and 57% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are East Kilbride and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?
The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.