East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: K Park Training Academy. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
East Kilbride: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 1.80 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 2.20 and concedes 0.00. League average: 2.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 40%, Hamilton Academical 0%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 80%, Hamilton Academical 40%. League level: BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. East Kilbride: 9.8 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 10.0.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 61-75 (4 goals). Hamilton Academical: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 29%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride have been impressive at home, winning both of their matches so far, scoring an average of 4.0 goals and conceding just 0.5 per game. The hosts are also creating better-quality chances, posting an xG of 1.83 compared with just 0.72 xG conceded to their opponents, while their 14 shots per match translate into 6.5 shots on target. Hamilton Academical lead the table and remain unbeaten in all 5 matches this season, but they have scored only 6 goals across their last five fixtures, compared with East Kilbride’s 11. The visitors are highly solid defensively away from home, keeping a 100% clean-sheet record and allowing an average of 0.67 xG, which makes a draw a realistic outcome. Nevertheless, home advantage, the hosts’ 29% conversion rate and their run of two consecutive home wins narrowly favour East Kilbride.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to BTTS - No: both teams have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far, while their season-long BTTS - Yes rates stand at 0% each. Hamilton Academical have yet to concede, with an average xG allowed of just 0.67, while East Kilbride create only 1.30 xG on average. BTTS has also appeared infrequently across the last five matches— in 40% of East Kilbride’s games and just 20% of Hamilton’s—while the visitors conceded an average of 0.8 goals. East Kilbride have been more defensively vulnerable over their last five, conceding 11 goals, but Hamilton may once again contain opponents who have failed to score in any match this season. The low league-wide BTTS rate of 28% further supports a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Hamilton have solid defensive foundations: they concede just 0.67 xG on average, while in their last 5 matches they have conceded only 4 goals, or 0.8 per game. East Kilbride have been more open recently, scoring and conceding an average of 2.2 goals in their five appearances, with Over 2.5 goals landing in each of those matches. At the same time, the profiles of both teams indicate that high-scoring games are not the norm: the hosts had fewer than 3.5 goals in 67% of their matches, while their average xG against is only 1.09. The visitors create an average of 1.51 xG, but against a home defence conceding just 0.78 xG, their most realistic return is around one goal. The projected total of 2.48 goals leaves a clear margin below four goals, making Under 3.5 goals the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Hamilton leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until the end of the match. In their last five matches, East Kilbride were trailing at half-time in 60% of cases, scoring an average of just 0.4 goals before the break and conceding 1.2, while Hamilton led in 40% of their matches and conceded only 0.4 goals in that period. The visitors also have slightly higher average xG, 1.51 compared with 1.30, as well as a clear advantage in shots on target, averaging 6.5 versus 4.0 for the hosts. Although East Kilbride have won all three of their home matches so far, their recent run has been defensively unstable, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match. Hamilton have kept clean sheets in both of their away appearances, strengthening the 2/2 scenario despite a significant draw risk.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - East Kilbride · 2.6 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - East Kilbride · 2.2 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
East Kilbride scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 100% (5 of 5 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 160% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - East Kilbride · 2.6 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.60 | 2.33 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished East Kilbride 0:1 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?
East Kilbride score 1.80 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 2.20. The League One average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of East Kilbride's matches and 0% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are East Kilbride and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical?
The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.