Scotland - League OneK Park Training AcademyData current as of 16 October 2026

East Kilbride vs Montrose: match statistics

Reasoning:

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East Kilbride vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

East Kilbride play Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: K Park Training Academy.

Current form

East Kilbride: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Montrose: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

East Kilbride scores 1.90 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.30 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: East Kilbride 50%, Montrose 40%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 80%, Montrose 90%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.36 vs 0.84. East Kilbride: 9.4 shots per match, Montrose: 6.0.

Match halves

East Kilbride: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.10. Montrose: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

East Kilbride: 61-75 (6 goals). Montrose: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 59%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.57)
(3.90)
(4.50)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

East KilbrideMontrose
1.9Goals scored / match1.3
East KilbrideMontrose
1.4Goals conceded / match1.9
East KilbrideMontrose
53%Average possession53%
East KilbrideMontrose
4.8Shots on target / match2.9
East KilbrideMontrose

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.4Shots per match6
East KilbrideMontrose
4.8Shots on target2.9
East KilbrideMontrose
20.2%Shot conversion21.7%
East KilbrideMontrose
53%Possession53%
East KilbrideMontrose
1.36xG for0.84
East KilbrideMontrose
0.95xG against1.58
East KilbrideMontrose

Shooting quality

East Kilbride: Efficient finishingMontrose: Efficient finishing
East KilbrideMontrose
Accuracy (shots on target)51%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

East Kilbride is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.8 pts / match - Montrose

East Kilbride
LWWWD
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Montrose
WWWLL
Season result split
50% W0% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-5
1.50 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1.9 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.3 goals / match - Montrose

East Kilbride is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.9 goals / match - Montrose

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Montrose scoring profile: strong

Montrose scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

19Goals scored (season)13
East KilbrideMontrose
14Goals conceded (season)19
East KilbrideMontrose
3.3Average goals in match3.2
East KilbrideMontrose
10Goals scored (last 5)7
East KilbrideMontrose
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
East KilbrideMontrose

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal60%
East KilbrideMontrose
60%2 goals50%
East KilbrideMontrose
40%3 goals20%
East KilbrideMontrose
10%4 goals0%
East KilbrideMontrose

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
East KilbrideMontrose
30%2 goals40%
East KilbrideMontrose
20%3 goals30%
East KilbrideMontrose
10%4 goals20%
East KilbrideMontrose

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time10%
East KilbrideMontrose
0%BTTS in both halves0%
East KilbrideMontrose
40%Scored in both halves50%
East KilbrideMontrose

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
East KilbrideMontrose
40%Min. 3 goals without BTTS50%
East KilbrideMontrose
60%BTTS - last 540%
East KilbrideMontrose

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
East KilbrideMontrose
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
East KilbrideMontrose
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
East KilbrideMontrose

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
East KilbrideMontrose
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
East KilbrideMontrose
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
East KilbrideMontrose

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride - half-time state
50% leading20% draw30% trailing
Montrose - half-time state
50% leading20% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1.7
East KilbrideMontrose
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.8
East KilbrideMontrose
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
East KilbrideMontrose
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.6
East KilbrideMontrose
50%Clean sheet before half-time60%
East KilbrideMontrose
50%No goal before half-time40%
East KilbrideMontrose

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)0.9
East KilbrideMontrose
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
East KilbrideMontrose
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
East KilbrideMontrose
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.6
East KilbrideMontrose
40%Clean sheet after half-time20%
East KilbrideMontrose
40%No goal after half-time50%
East KilbrideMontrose

East Kilbride - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Montrose - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Montrose - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
4
46-60
6
3
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Montrose
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
5
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Montrose

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

East KilbrideLigaMontrose
Average goals in match▲ 3.302.80▲ 3.20
Both teams scored▲ 50%45%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%59%▲ 90%
Clean sheets▼ 20%32%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%67%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%80%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: East Kilbride 0 - 0 - 1 Montrose. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do East Kilbride and Montrose play?

East Kilbride face Montrose on 17 October 2026 in League One at K Park Training Academy. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Montrose?

East Kilbride score 1.90 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.30. The League One average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of East Kilbride's matches and 40% of Montrose's.

What form are East Kilbride and Montrose in?

Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Montrose 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Montrose?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for East Kilbride vs Montrose: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.