East Kilbride vs Stranraer: match statistics
East Kilbride occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) and presents solid home statistics with 44% of matches won at home and an average of 2 goals per match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 in home matches, while Stranraer shows weaker form in the last five meetings (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat) and achieves only 0.8 points per match. Stranraer has a 30% loss rate in away games and 30% of matches without scoring a goal, which could be problematic against hosts scoring an average of 2 goals in home matches. Although East Kilbride is also going through a weaker period (1 win in the last 5 matches overall), their home advantage and better offensive statistics give them a clear edge. Considering all data, I expect a home victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the recent form of both teams.
East Kilbride vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
East Kilbride played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
East Kilbride: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stranraer: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
East Kilbride scores 1.89 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: East Kilbride 68%, Stranraer 70%. Over 2.5: East Kilbride 68%, Stranraer 55%. League level: BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.22. East Kilbride: 9.8 shots per match, Stranraer: 8.8.
Match halves
East Kilbride: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.58. Stranraer: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
East Kilbride: 31-45+ (11 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 70%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride occupies a higher position in the table (2nd place) and presents solid home statistics with 44% of matches won at home and an average of 2 goals per match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 in home matches, while Stranraer shows weaker form in the last five meetings (0 wins, 4 draws, 1 defeat) and achieves only 0.8 points per match. Stranraer has a 30% loss rate in away games and 30% of matches without scoring a goal, which could be problematic against hosts scoring an average of 2 goals in home matches. Although East Kilbride is also going through a weaker period (1 win in the last 5 matches overall), their home advantage and better offensive statistics give them a clear edge. Considering all data, I expect a home victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the recent form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| East Kilbride | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - East Kilbride · 1.35 goals / match - Stranraer
East Kilbride scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Stranraer scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - East Kilbride
Over / Under - Stranraer
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - East Kilbride · 1.55 pts / match - Stranraer
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 47%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
East Kilbride
Stranraer
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| East Kilbride | Liga | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 68% | 70% | • 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 18% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): East Kilbride 2 - 0 - 0 Stranraer. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of East Kilbride vs Stranraer?
The League Two match finished East Kilbride 0:2 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between East Kilbride and Stranraer?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches East Kilbride won 2, Stranraer won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before East Kilbride vs Stranraer?
East Kilbride score 1.89 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.35. The League Two average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 68% of East Kilbride's matches and 70% of Stranraer's.
What form are East Kilbride and Stranraer in?
Over the last 5 games East Kilbride have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stranraer 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for East Kilbride vs Stranraer?
The statistical background for East Kilbride vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.