Eastleigh vs Brackley Town: match statistics
Eastleigh sits 19th in the table, while Brackley Town occupies the 20th position, indicating a closely contested matchup between two bottom-half teams. The hosts have the edge in home form with a 29% home win rate, whereas the visitors win only 17% of their away matches and have lost all of their last 5 fixtures. Eastleigh boasts a better home goal difference (-7) compared to Brackley's away record (-12), alongside a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 11%). Brackley Town has failed to secure a single point in their last five games, highlighting a deep crisis in form. Considering the home-field advantage, better recent form, and xG statistics (xG For 1.35 vs 1.36; xG Against 1.64 vs 1.65), Eastleigh has a realistic chance of winning, although the poor disposition of both teams makes a draw a probable scenario as well.
Eastleigh vs Brackley Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh played Brackley Town in National League (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Eastleigh: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Brackley Town: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.25 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Brackley Town scores 0.94 and concedes 1.49. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 69%, Brackley Town 49%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 58%, Brackley Town 40%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Eastleigh: 9.1 shots per match, Brackley Town: 9.7.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.81. Brackley Town: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 76-90+ (12 goals). Brackley Town: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Eastleigh sits 19th in the table, while Brackley Town occupies the 20th position, indicating a closely contested matchup between two bottom-half teams. The hosts have the edge in home form with a 29% home win rate, whereas the visitors win only 17% of their away matches and have lost all of their last 5 fixtures. Eastleigh boasts a better home goal difference (-7) compared to Brackley's away record (-12), alongside a higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 11%). Brackley Town has failed to secure a single point in their last five games, highlighting a deep crisis in form. Considering the home-field advantage, better recent form, and xG statistics (xG For 1.35 vs 1.36; xG Against 1.64 vs 1.65), Eastleigh has a realistic chance of winning, although the poor disposition of both teams makes a draw a probable scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Brackley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Eastleigh · 0.94 goals / match - Brackley Town
Brackley Town is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.49 goals / match - Brackley Town
Eastleigh scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Brackley Town keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
Brackley Town scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Brackley Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brackley Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Brackley Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Brackley Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 58% | 57% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eastleigh 0 - 0 - 1 Brackley Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Brackley Town?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 2:1 Brackley Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Brackley Town?
Eastleigh score 1.25 goals per game on average and Brackley Town 0.94. The National League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Eastleigh's matches and 49% of Brackley Town's.
What form are Eastleigh and Brackley Town in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Brackley Town 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Brackley Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.