Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Forest Green Rovers are showing significantly better form and league position (6th place) compared to Eastleigh (18th place). The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2) and a higher average xG (1.62 vs 1.30), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Eastleigh lose as many as 45% of their home matches and in their last five games have averaged only 0.6 points per match, while Forest Green have been averaging 1.8 points. The hosts have just a 5% clean sheet rate at home, which, combined with an average of 1.85 goals conceded per match, makes their defense very vulnerable. A higher average ball possession (51% vs 44%) and a better shots on target ratio (5.0 vs 3.45) further support the visitors. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Forest Green Rovers have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh play Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Eastleigh: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.24 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 67%, Forest Green Rovers 64%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 57%, Forest Green Rovers 51%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Forest Green Rovers has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.32. Eastleigh: 9.3 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 16.2.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.74. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.02.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 76-90+ (14 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Forest Green Rovers are showing significantly better form and league position (6th place) compared to Eastleigh (18th place). The visitors have a positive goal difference away from home (+2) and a higher average xG (1.62 vs 1.30), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Eastleigh lose as many as 45% of their home matches and in their last five games have averaged only 0.6 points per match, while Forest Green have been averaging 1.8 points. The hosts have just a 5% clean sheet rate at home, which, combined with an average of 1.85 goals conceded per match, makes their defense very vulnerable. A higher average ball possession (51% vs 44%) and a better shots on target ratio (5.0 vs 3.45) further support the visitors. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Forest Green Rovers have a clear advantage and should secure all three points in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forest Green Rovers is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.74 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.13 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Eastleigh scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 47 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 85% of matches (40 of 47 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (4 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Eastleigh
Over / Under — Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forest Green Rovers is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.4 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 49%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.98 | 2.92 | • 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eastleigh 0 - 0 - 1 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 2:4 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers?
Eastleigh score 1.24 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.74. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Eastleigh's matches and 64% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Eastleigh and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers?
The statistical background for Eastleigh vs Forest Green Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.