Eastleigh vs Rochdale: match statistics
Rochdale, as the league leader with 28 wins this season, showcases a vastly superior form compared to Eastleigh, who sits in 17th place. The visitors are characterized by impressive efficiency in away matches - a 71% win rate, 53% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +16, while the hosts suffer a negative home record of -6. The form over the last five games also favors Rochdale (2.6 PPG, WDWWW streak) compared to the unstable Eastleigh (1.2 PPG, LWLLW streak). xG stats reveal an advantage for the visitors (1.55 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against) over the hosts (1.37 xG For vs 1.64 xG Against), confirming the quality gap between the squads. Rochdale also dominates in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and registers more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.67), which further increases the probability of an away win.
Eastleigh vs Rochdale: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh played Rochdale in National League (England). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Eastleigh: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Rochdale: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.27 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Rochdale scores 1.92 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 70%, Rochdale 47%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 59%, Rochdale 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Rochdale has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.31. Eastleigh: 9.3 shots per match, Rochdale: 12.9.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.81. Rochdale: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 76-90+ (13 goals). Rochdale: 31-45+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rochdale, as the league leader with 28 wins this season, showcases a vastly superior form compared to Eastleigh, who sits in 17th place. The visitors are characterized by impressive efficiency in away matches - a 71% win rate, 53% clean sheets, and a positive goal difference of +16, while the hosts suffer a negative home record of -6. The form over the last five games also favors Rochdale (2.6 PPG, WDWWW streak) compared to the unstable Eastleigh (1.2 PPG, LWLLW streak). xG stats reveal an advantage for the visitors (1.55 xG For vs 1.25 xG Against) over the hosts (1.37 xG For vs 1.64 xG Against), confirming the quality gap between the squads. Rochdale also dominates in ball possession (55% vs 45%) and registers more shots on target (5.18 vs 3.67), which further increases the probability of an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rochdale is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Eastleigh · 2.6 pts / match - Rochdale
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rochdale is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.92 goals / match - Rochdale
Rochdale is 151% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Eastleigh · 0.69 goals / match - Rochdale
Eastleigh scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Rochdale keeps a clean sheet in 53% (19 of 36 matches).
Rochdale scores in 97% of matches (35 of 36 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Rochdale
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rochdale is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.97 pts / match - Rochdale
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rochdale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Rochdale
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 23% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eastleigh 0 - 0 - 1 Rochdale. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 1:3 Rochdale. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
Eastleigh score 1.27 goals per game on average and Rochdale 1.92. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Eastleigh's matches and 47% of Rochdale's.
What form are Eastleigh and Rochdale in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Rochdale 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Rochdale?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.