Eastleigh vs Southend United: match statistics
Eastleigh vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh played Southend United in National League (England). The match was played on 30 September 2026. Venue: Silverlake Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Eastleigh: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Southend United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Southend United scores 2.50 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 70%, Southend United 90%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 50%, Southend United 80%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Southend United has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.08. Eastleigh: 7.4 shots per match, Southend United: 12.7.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Southend United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 31-45+ (3 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.08 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southend United are 2nd and have collected 11 points from their last five matches, while 12th-placed Eastleigh have picked up 5 points over the same period. The visitors have scored 15 goals in those games compared with the hosts’ 5, and average 3 goals per away match, against Eastleigh’s 1.6 goals per home game. Their attacking advantage is also reflected in an average of 6 shots on target away from home, compared with the hosts’ 2.8 at home, although the gap in chance quality is smaller: their xG figures are 1.57 and 1.20 respectively. Eastleigh are, however, unbeaten in their last five home matches, while Southend concede an average of 1.2 goals away and have not kept a clean sheet on the road, giving the hosts a chance to find the net. Nevertheless, greater efficiency and a clearly stronger recent run point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The prospect of both teams scoring is supported by their historical rates in such matches: 75% for Eastleigh and 100% for Southend United, compared with 66% across the league. In their last 5 matches, both sides scored in 80% and 100% of games respectively, so the trend is also evident in their most recent results. Southend averaged 3.0 goals per match over this period, while Eastleigh conceded 1.2, which supports the case for an away goal. Eastleigh, meanwhile, averages 2.17 xG at home, while Southend allows opponents 1.58 xG and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Although Eastleigh averaged just 1.0 goal in its last 5 matches, the overall data points more strongly to both teams scoring than to BTTS - No, which means at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Eastleigh matches and 100% of Southend United matches. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home, while the visitors score 3.0 away from home, although Eastleigh have managed only 1.0 goal per game across their last five matches. Further support for goals from both teams comes from Eastleigh conceding an average of 1.5 goals at home and Southend 1.2 away; neither side has yet failed to score in a match. Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals are also supported by both teams’ results, but the lower line offers a clearer edge with a forecast of 3.55 total goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Southend United are in better form: they have averaged 3 goals across their last 5 matches and have not lost once, while Eastleigh have averaged 1 goal and won only once. The visitors led at the break in 3 of their 5 matches, and their average of 2 first-half goals points to an early lead. Holding on to that advantage is a credible scenario, as Southend have not lost any of those 5 games and average 1 goal after half-time. The main caveat is the hosts’ first-half defence, which has conceded an average of just 0.25 goals, so a draw at half-time followed by an away win remains a significant alternative. Even so, Southend’s frequent half-time leads combined with their clearly superior recent form make 2/2 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Southend United is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Eastleigh · 2 pts / match - Southend United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southend United is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Eastleigh · 2.5 goals / match - Southend United
Eastleigh is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Eastleigh · 1.6 goals / match - Southend United
Eastleigh scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
Southend United scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Southend United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southend United is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Eastleigh · 1.8 pts / match - Southend United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Southend United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Southend United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.08 | ▲ 4.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 65% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 18% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 87% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Eastleigh 1 - 0 - 1 Southend United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Southend United?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 1:1 Southend United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Eastleigh and Southend United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 1, Southend United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Southend United?
Eastleigh score 1.20 goals per game on average and Southend United 2.50. The National League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Eastleigh's matches and 90% of Southend United's.
What form are Eastleigh and Southend United in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Southend United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Southend United?
The statistical background for Eastleigh vs Southend United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.