Eastleigh vs Truro City: match statistics
Eastleigh looks decidedly better than Truro City, as seen in the direct comparison of statistics. The hosts have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Truro scores just 0.56 goals on the road. Truro City occupies the last, 24th place in the table with a catastrophic away record—75% losses and only 6% wins, without keeping a single clean sheet away. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the hosts (1.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Although Eastleigh has their own defensive problems, the offensive advantage and decidedly better disposition compared to the guests should bring them victory, though the difference in class is not large enough to rule out a draw or surprises.
Eastleigh vs Truro City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eastleigh played Truro City in National League (England). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Eastleigh: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Truro City: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eastleigh scores 1.24 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Truro City scores 0.94 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eastleigh 67%, Truro City 34%. Over 2.5: Eastleigh 55%, Truro City 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Eastleigh has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Eastleigh: 9.4 shots per match, Truro City: 8.6.
Match halves
Eastleigh: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Truro City: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Eastleigh: 46-60 (11 goals). Truro City: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Eastleigh looks decidedly better than Truro City, as seen in the direct comparison of statistics. The hosts have a clear advantage in offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Truro scores just 0.56 goals on the road. Truro City occupies the last, 24th place in the table with a catastrophic away record—75% losses and only 6% wins, without keeping a single clean sheet away. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the hosts (1.0 PPG vs 0.6 PPG). Although Eastleigh has their own defensive problems, the offensive advantage and decidedly better disposition compared to the guests should bring them victory, though the difference in class is not large enough to rule out a draw or surprises.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eastleigh | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Eastleigh · 0.6 pts / match - Truro City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Eastleigh · 0.94 goals / match - Truro City
Eastleigh scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Truro City keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Truro City scores in 47% of matches (15 of 32 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eastleigh
Over / Under - Truro City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eastleigh is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Eastleigh · 0.91 pts / match - Truro City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Truro City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eastleigh
Truro City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Eastleigh | Liga | Truro City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.97 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eastleigh 1 - 0 - 0 Truro City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eastleigh vs Truro City?
The National League match finished Eastleigh 2:1 Truro City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eastleigh vs Truro City?
Eastleigh score 1.24 goals per game on average and Truro City 0.94. The National League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Eastleigh's matches and 34% of Truro City's.
What form are Eastleigh and Truro City in?
Over the last 5 games Eastleigh have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Truro City 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eastleigh vs Truro City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Eastleigh vs Truro City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.