Ecuador vs Germany: match statistics
Ecuador vs Germany: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ecuador played Germany in World Cup (International). The match was played on 25 June 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ecuador: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Germany: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ecuador scores 0.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Germany scores 4.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ecuador 0%, Germany 100%. Over 2.5: Ecuador 0%, Germany 100%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Germany has higher xG: 2.55 vs 2.30. Ecuador: 19.5 shots per match, Germany: 21.0.
Match halves
Ecuador: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Germany: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 3.00.
Goals by minute
Ecuador: 0-15 (0 goals). Germany: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2: 2. Ecuador has only one point and has not scored, but against Curaçao he had 28 shots and was stopped by an exceptional performance by the goalkeeper. Germany won both matches and is assured of first place, so rotation is expected; Additionally, Nico Schlotterbeck dropped out. Germany remains a slight qualitative favorite, but the table situation gives Ecuador a real chance for a surprise. Our independent rating is 28% for Ecuador, 32% for draw and 40% for Germany. The most likely outcome profile is 1:1 or 1:2; the bet is 40% and takes into account motivation, rotation and the course of the first two rounds. Status: NOBET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: yes. Ecuador only has one point and hasn't scored a goal, but against Curaçao they had 28 shots and were stopped by an outstanding goaltending performance. Germany won both matches and is assured of first place, so rotation is expected; Additionally, Nico Schlotterbeck dropped out. Germany remains a slight qualitative favorite, but the table situation gives Ecuador a real chance for a surprise. Ecuador is creating more than his goalscoring numbers, and Germany's changed defense increases his breakout chances. The goal model gives 53% on BTTS Yes and 47% on BTTS No, with expected goals of 1.25 for Ecuador and 1.35 for Germany. This is not a conclusion from the odds, but from the quality of the situations created, the style of the match and the needs of the table. Status: NOBET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: Under 2.5. Ecuador only has one point and hasn't scored a goal, but against Curaçao he had 28 shots and was stopped by an outstanding goaltending performance. Germany won both matches and is assured of first place, so rotation is expected; Additionally, Nico Schlotterbeck dropped out. Germany remains a slight quality favorite, but the table situation gives Ecuador a real chance for a surprise. The model gives 48% on Over 2.5 and 52% on Under 2.5, with xG Ecuador 1.25, Germany 1.35 and 2.60 in total. On line 2.5, the goal of the weaker side is crucial: the result of 2:0 leaves the under, while 2:1 immediately moves the match to the over. A 1:1 or 1:2 profile explains why the advantage of the selected market side is not always large. Status: NOBET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: 2/2. Ecuador only has one point and hasn't scored a goal, but against Curaçao he had 28 shots and was stopped by an outstanding goaltending performance. Germany won both matches and is assured of first place, so rotation is expected; Additionally, Nico Schlotterbeck dropped out. Germany remains a slight quality favorite, but the table situation gives Ecuador a real chance for a surprise. This is a wide-open match: Germany may be leading, but the draw at half-time remains very close to the 2/2 scenario. The highest tracks are 2/2 23%, X/X 20% and 1/1 15%. The HT/FT distribution has been calibrated so that its final result is consistent with our 1X2: 28%–32%–40%. This is a high-variance market, so the stake should be lower than the base market. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ecuador | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Germany is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Ecuador · 3 pts / match - Germany
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ecuador is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Ecuador · 1 goals / match - Germany
Ecuador scores in 0% of matches (0 of 2 matches), while Germany keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Germany scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Ecuador keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ecuador
Over / Under - Germany
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Germany is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Ecuador · 1.5 pts / match - Germany
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ecuador - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Germany - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 3.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ecuador
Germany
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Ecuador | Liga | Germany | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.50 | 2.98 | ▲ 5.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 52% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ecuador vs Germany?
The World Cup match finished Ecuador 2:1 Germany. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ecuador vs Germany?
Ecuador score 0.00 goals per game on average and Germany 4.50. The World Cup average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Ecuador's matches and 100% of Germany's.
What form are Ecuador and Germany in?
Over the last 5 games Ecuador have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Germany 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ecuador vs Germany?
The statistical background for Ecuador vs Germany — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.