Edinburgh City vs Elgin City: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between two of the league's weaker sides. Edinburgh City have a disastrous home record with just 14% of home matches won and a goal difference of -11, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per game. Elgin City have performed slightly better in their last five matches (1.4 points per game vs 0.8), but away from home they win only 14% of matches and draw as many as 43%. Both teams have similar xG values (Edinburgh 1.33 vs Elgin 1.39) and possession statistics (50% vs 51%), confirming their comparable level. Considering the hosts' poor form, Elgin's high tendency to draw away matches, and the balanced statistics, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Edinburgh City vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Edinburgh City played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Edinburgh City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Elgin City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Edinburgh City scores 1.34 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.43 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Edinburgh City 72%, Elgin City 64%. Over 2.5: Edinburgh City 66%, Elgin City 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.19. Edinburgh City: 8.9 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.8.
Match halves
Edinburgh City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.66. Elgin City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Edinburgh City: 31-45+ (10 goals). Elgin City: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between two of the league's weaker sides. Edinburgh City have a disastrous home record with just 14% of home matches won and a goal difference of -11, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per game. Elgin City have performed slightly better in their last five matches (1.4 points per game vs 0.8), but away from home they win only 14% of matches and draw as many as 43%. Both teams have similar xG values (Edinburgh 1.33 vs Elgin 1.39) and possession statistics (50% vs 51%), confirming their comparable level. Considering the hosts' poor form, Elgin's high tendency to draw away matches, and the balanced statistics, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Edinburgh City | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elgin City is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.4 pts / match - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.34 goals / match - Edinburgh City · 1.43 goals / match - Elgin City
Elgin City is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Edinburgh City · 1.64 goals / match - Elgin City
Edinburgh City scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Elgin City scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Edinburgh City
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Edinburgh City is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.11 pts / match - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Edinburgh City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Edinburgh City
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Edinburgh City | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.96 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Edinburgh City 1 - 0 - 2 Elgin City. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Edinburgh City 0:3 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Edinburgh City and Elgin City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 1, Elgin City won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
Edinburgh City score 1.34 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.43. The League Two average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Edinburgh City's matches and 64% of Elgin City's.
What form are Edinburgh City and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Edinburgh City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Elgin City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Edinburgh City vs Elgin City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.