Edinburgh City vs Stranraer: match statistics
Stranraer appears to be the favorite for this encounter based on an analysis of key statistics. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and present significantly better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five games, whereas Edinburgh City has only 0.4 points. Stranraer holds a positive goal difference on the road (+6) and has won 42% of their away matches, while the hosts have won a mere 8% of games at home and have a negative balance of -14 goals. Edinburgh City is on a disastrous home run with 54% losses and just one clean sheet this season. Stranraer is more effective in chance conversion (18% vs 13%) and concedes fewer goals away (1.08 average) than Edinburgh City does at home (2.38 average). Taking all these factors into account, a Stranraer victory is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' 33% draw rate in away games.
Edinburgh City vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Edinburgh City played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Edinburgh City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Stranraer: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Edinburgh City scores 1.30 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.32 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Edinburgh City 74%, Stranraer 68%. Over 2.5: Edinburgh City 63%, Stranraer 52%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.21. Edinburgh City: 9.0 shots per match, Stranraer: 8.9.
Match halves
Edinburgh City: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Stranraer: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Edinburgh City: 31-45+ (9 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stranraer appears to be the favorite for this encounter based on an analysis of key statistics. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table and present significantly better form with 1.6 points per match in the last five games, whereas Edinburgh City has only 0.4 points. Stranraer holds a positive goal difference on the road (+6) and has won 42% of their away matches, while the hosts have won a mere 8% of games at home and have a negative balance of -14 goals. Edinburgh City is on a disastrous home run with 54% losses and just one clean sheet this season. Stranraer is more effective in chance conversion (18% vs 13%) and concedes fewer goals away (1.08 average) than Edinburgh City does at home (2.38 average). Taking all these factors into account, a Stranraer victory is the most probable outcome, though a draw remains a viable option due to the visitors' 33% draw rate in away games.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Edinburgh City | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stranraer is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.6 pts / match - Stranraer
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stranraer is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Edinburgh City · 1.24 goals / match - Stranraer
Edinburgh City scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Stranraer scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Edinburgh City
Over / Under - Stranraer
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Edinburgh City · 1.56 pts / match - Stranraer
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Edinburgh City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Edinburgh City
Stranraer
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Edinburgh City | Liga | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.19 | 2.96 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Edinburgh City 1 - 1 - 1 Stranraer. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
The League Two match finished Edinburgh City 4:1 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Edinburgh City and Stranraer?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 1, Stranraer won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
Edinburgh City score 1.30 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.32. The League Two average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Edinburgh City's matches and 68% of Stranraer's.
What form are Edinburgh City and Stranraer in?
Over the last 5 games Edinburgh City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Stranraer 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer?
The statistical background for Edinburgh City vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.