Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani: match statistics
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, as the league leaders, display solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (59% on average) and generate more scoring opportunities (xG 1.57 vs 1.27 for the visitors). AF Elbasani, despite being second in the table, show weaker away statistics with just a 44% win rate and lower offensive efficiency (1.22 goals per match). The recent form of both teams is even, but the hosts' advantage in home matches and higher expected goal metrics speak in their favor. Considering both teams' tendency for draws (33% for the hosts and the visitors away), there is also a real chance of a points split, but the statistics indicate a minimal advantage for Egnatia.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Egnatia Rrogozhinë played AF Elbasani in Superliga (Albania). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. AF Elbasani: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores 1.21 and concedes 0.63 goals per match. AF Elbasani scores 1.05 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 32%, AF Elbasani 42%. Over 2.5: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 26%, AF Elbasani 21%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
AF Elbasani has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.35. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 10.8 shots per match, AF Elbasani: 10.6.
Match halves
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.74. AF Elbasani: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 46-60 (5 goals). AF Elbasani: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, as the league leaders, display solid home form with a 56% win rate and an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (59% on average) and generate more scoring opportunities (xG 1.57 vs 1.27 for the visitors). AF Elbasani, despite being second in the table, show weaker away statistics with just a 44% win rate and lower offensive efficiency (1.22 goals per match). The recent form of both teams is even, but the hosts' advantage in home matches and higher expected goal metrics speak in their favor. Considering both teams' tendency for draws (33% for the hosts and the visitors away), there is also a real chance of a points split, but the statistics indicate a minimal advantage for Egnatia.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | AF Elbasani | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 1.6 pts / match - AF Elbasani
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.21 goals / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 1.05 goals / match - AF Elbasani
Egnatia Rrogozhinë scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while AF Elbasani keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
AF Elbasani scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Egnatia Rrogozhinë keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Over / Under - AF Elbasani
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 1.42 pts / match - AF Elbasani
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AF Elbasani - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
AF Elbasani
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Liga | AF Elbasani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.03 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 42% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 36% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 - 1 - 1 AF Elbasani. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
The Superliga match finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2:2 AF Elbasani. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and AF Elbasani?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Egnatia Rrogozhinë won 0, AF Elbasani won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 1.21 goals per game on average and AF Elbasani 1.05. The Superliga average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's matches and 42% of AF Elbasani's.
What form are Egnatia Rrogozhinë and AF Elbasani in?
Over the last 5 games Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and AF Elbasani 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs AF Elbasani: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.