Eindhoven vs Almere City: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which speaks in favor of a draw. Eindhoven is in 15th place in the table and shows poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), but at home they perform decently with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1). Almere City, despite their higher position (8th place), has problems away from home – 50% losses and only 8% draws, but at the same time their 42% win rate shows their potential. A key factor is Almere's average of 3.75 goals per away match and Eindhoven's 3.46 goals per home match, which suggests an open encounter. Considering the similar xG values of both teams (1.4 vs 1.75) and balanced possession, I expect an exciting match with a slight advantage for the visitors, but the risk of a draw remains very high due to the unpredictability of both sides.
Eindhoven vs Almere City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eindhoven played Almere City in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Eindhoven: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Almere City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eindhoven scores 1.38 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Almere City scores 2.04 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eindhoven 38%, Almere City 62%. Over 2.5: Eindhoven 54%, Almere City 69%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Almere City has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.45. Eindhoven: 13.2 shots per match, Almere City: 17.6.
Match halves
Eindhoven: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73. Almere City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Eindhoven: 76-90+ (10 goals). Almere City: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely balanced, which speaks in favor of a draw. Eindhoven is in 15th place in the table and shows poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), but at home they perform decently with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1). Almere City, despite their higher position (8th place), has problems away from home – 50% losses and only 8% draws, but at the same time their 42% win rate shows their potential. A key factor is Almere's average of 3.75 goals per away match and Eindhoven's 3.46 goals per home match, which suggests an open encounter. Considering the similar xG values of both teams (1.4 vs 1.75) and balanced possession, I expect an exciting match with a slight advantage for the visitors, but the risk of a draw remains very high due to the unpredictability of both sides.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eindhoven | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almere City is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.4 pts / match - Almere City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almere City is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Eindhoven · 2.04 goals / match - Almere City
Almere City is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.62 goals / match - Almere City
Eindhoven scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Almere City keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Almere City scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eindhoven
Over / Under - Almere City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almere City is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.42 pts / match - Almere City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eindhoven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almere City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eindhoven
Almere City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Eindhoven | Liga | Almere City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.19 | 3.25 | ▲ 3.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 63% | • 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 65% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 21% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 86% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eindhoven 0 - 0 - 1 Almere City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eindhoven vs Almere City?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Eindhoven 3:2 Almere City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eindhoven vs Almere City?
Eindhoven score 1.38 goals per game on average and Almere City 2.04. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Eindhoven's matches and 62% of Almere City's.
What form are Eindhoven and Almere City in?
Over the last 5 games Eindhoven have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Almere City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eindhoven vs Almere City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Eindhoven vs Almere City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.