Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: match statistics
Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eindhoven played De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Eindhoven: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. De Graafschap: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eindhoven scores 1.42 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.85 and concedes 1.55. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eindhoven 48%, De Graafschap 73%. Over 2.5: Eindhoven 61%, De Graafschap 64%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.58. Eindhoven: 14.6 shots per match, De Graafschap: 17.8.
Match halves
Eindhoven: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.76. De Graafschap: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Eindhoven: 76-90+ (13 goals). De Graafschap: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the away win (2) because De Graafschap posts superior season metrics and a clear offensive edge: 3rd in the table vs 12th and 61 goals scored vs 47 for Eindhoven. The visitors generate more chances — average xG 1.80 vs 1.53, average shots 15.5 vs 13.63 and higher possession (54% vs 44%) — translating into greater control of the game. Eindhoven nonetheless have a home advantage: 1.81 goals scored per home match on average, 31% clean sheets and better recent form (5-match average 1.8 points per game vs 1.4 for De Graafschap), so the hosts remain dangerous. In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 9 and conceded 10, while Eindhoven scored 7 and conceded 6, indicating greater defensive volatility for De Graafschap. Shot efficiency is similar (conversion 12% for the visitors vs 13% for the hosts) and the share of matches without scoring is equal at 25%, so I expect goals from both sides and an open contest (average total goals ~3.3). Based on this I assign a 48% probability to a De Graafschap win, 28% to Eindhoven and 24% to a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams present a strong BTTS signal: Eindhoven has 76% BTTS matches this season, De Graafschap 69%, both above the league average of 62%, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams register 80% BTTS. Seasonally Eindhoven scores 1.88 and concedes 1.65, De Graafschap scores 1.81 and concedes 1.44; in the last 5 matches the home side averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded, while the visitors averaged 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. xG confirms goal potential on both sides: Eindhoven generates 2.22 xG versus average xG against De Graafschap of 1.87, and De Graafschap has 1.80 xG with average xG against Eindhoven 1.70. Shot stats show offensive pressure (Eindhoven 19.94 shots and 7.88 on target vs De Graafschap 15.5 and 6.25) with conversion rates of 9% and 12%, and low clean sheet percentages (18% vs 13%) plus a high share of matches over 2.5 goals (65% vs 63%) further reinforce the BTTS - Yes scenario, therefore I tip BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams strongly favor goals: Eindhoven has Over 1.5 in 88% of matches, De Graafschap also 88%, and in the last 5 meetings the two sides have combined for 16 goals (3.2 per game), so I estimate Over 1.5 at roughly 90%. The xG model confirms the offensive profile: home xG is 2.22 versus opponent xG against of 1.87 (yielding ~2.05 expected goals for Eindhoven), while the visitors combine 1.80 xG and 1.70 xG against for ~1.75, giving ~3.80 xG for the match. Season Over 2.5 rates are 65% for Eindhoven and 63% for De Graafschap, and in the last 5 rounds both teams have Over 2.5 at 80%, therefore I assess Over 2.5 at 72%. Over 3.5 is more marginal (seasonally 53% vs 44%); with ~3.8 predicted goals I give Over 3.5 about 48% (a slight edge to Under 3.5). Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 with the highest probability, while from market lines Over 2.5 also looks attractive.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows De Graafschap scores more often before the break: their average first-half goals is 1.00 versus Eindhoven’s 0.82, and 7 of the visitors’ goals came in the 31–45 minute window versus 2 for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of the visitors leading at half-time. At the same time Eindhoven has a higher xG (2.22 vs 1.80) and averages more shots (19.94 vs 15.5), and the hosts are very active after the break — 10 goals in the 46–60 minute period versus 1 for their opponents — which favors a turnaround in the second half. In the last 5 matches Eindhoven has won 60% of games versus 40% for De Graafschap, while De Graafschap led at half-time in 60% of their last 5 matches, supporting the scenario of the visitors leading at half-time and the hosts coming back after the break. Additionally, the high proportion of matches in which both teams score (76% for Eindhoven, 69% for De Graafschap) and the league average goals of 3.19 suggest an open game with exchanged strikes. For these reasons I assign the highest probability to the “2/1” scenario (visitors lead at half-time, hosts win); alternatives are X/1 or X/X.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eindhoven | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eindhoven is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.4 pts / match - De Graafschap
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.85 goals / match - De Graafschap
De Graafschap is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.55 goals / match - De Graafschap
Eindhoven scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
De Graafschap scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eindhoven
Over / Under - De Graafschap
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
De Graafschap is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.7 pts / match - De Graafschap
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eindhoven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eindhoven
De Graafschap
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Eindhoven | Liga | De Graafschap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.15 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 63% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eindhoven 0 - 0 - 1 De Graafschap. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Eindhoven 2:2 De Graafschap. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
Eindhoven score 1.42 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.85. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Eindhoven's matches and 73% of De Graafschap's.
What form are Eindhoven and De Graafschap in?
Over the last 5 games Eindhoven have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and De Graafschap 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eindhoven vs De Graafschap?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.