Eindhoven vs Dordrecht: match statistics

Both teams are near the bottom of the table, and their recent form has been poor: Eindhoven have collected 3 points from five matches, while Dordrecht have taken 4. The hosts have lost both of their matches at home so far and concede an average of 3 goals there, but Dordrecht allow even more on the road, averaging 4 goals and 2.23 xG. Their attacking records are almost identical, with both teams scoring 1.5 goals per match in the conditions analysed, although the visitors register more shots on target—4.5 compared with 2. Neither side has kept a clean sheet, while the average total number of goals stands at 4.5 in Eindhoven’s home matches and 5.5 in Dordrecht’s away games, pointing to an open encounter. Dordrecht are marginally more stable and have drawn half of their away matches, making a share of the points the most likely outcome.

BTTS - Yes is strongly supported by the season data: Eindhoven have seen this scenario in 67% of their matches, while it has occurred in all of Dordrecht’s games so far. Neither defense has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.67 goals and the visitors as many as 4.00 per match. Eindhoven create an average of 1.67 xG and register 6.0 shots on target per game, while Dordrecht record 1.36 xG and score an average of 1.50 goals. Current form also points toward goals at both ends: in their last five appearances, the teams conceded 2.8 and 3.2 goals respectively, while BTTS occurred in 60% of Eindhoven’s matches and 80% of Dordrecht’s. Further support comes from the league average of 3.98 goals per match and a BTTS rate of 78%, making it most likely that both teams will score.

Matches involving both teams have a clearly open profile: Eindhoven concede an average of 2.67 goals, while Dordrecht concede as many as 4.00 goals per match. Their defenses have been even less stable across the last five appearances, with the hosts conceding 14 goals and the visitors 16, equating to 2.8 and 3.2 per game respectively. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of each team’s last five matches, while Dordrecht have recorded at least three total goals in every match they have played so far this season. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures: Eindhoven create an average of 1.67 xG, while Dordrecht average 1.36, with their opponents allowing 1.73 and 2.23 xG respectively. The strongest pick remains Over 1.5 goals, as neither team has kept a single clean sheet and the probability of at least two goals is very high.

The strongest scenario is Dordrecht leading at the break before Eindhoven go on to win, as the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 40% of their last five matches, while the hosts had not led at half-time in any of those games. Eindhoven, however, possess greater attacking potential, averaging 1.67 xG and 6 shots on target per match, compared with Dordrecht’s 1.36 xG and 4.5 shots on target. The key factor is the visitors’ very weak defence, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per game and 2.5 goals after half-time, with a 0% second-half clean-sheet rate. Dordrecht have lost the second half in 100% of their matches so far, while Eindhoven concede just 1.0 goal on average after the break, increasing the hosts’ chances of completing a turnaround. The high average of 4.33 total goals in Eindhoven matches and 5.50 in Dordrecht fixtures favours an HT/FT outcome featuring a clear shift in momentum after half-time.