Eindhoven vs Emmen: match statistics
Eindhoven holds a clear home advantage, as confirmed by their home record: a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate better efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.87 goals with an xG of 1.5, while Emmen in away matches scores only 1.13 goals on average with an xG of 1.4. Emmen has very poor away form with 60% losses and a negative goal difference (-14), which further diminishes their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (Eindhoven 1.2 PPG, Emmen 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and Eindhoven's superior statistics on their own ground point to a home victory. It should be noted, though, that both teams have a tendency to concede goals, which could result in a close match or a draw.
Eindhoven vs Emmen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eindhoven played Emmen in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Eindhoven: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Emmen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eindhoven scores 1.44 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Emmen scores 1.56 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eindhoven 50%, Emmen 63%. Over 2.5: Eindhoven 63%, Emmen 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Eindhoven has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.52. Eindhoven: 14.5 shots per match, Emmen: 13.5.
Match halves
Eindhoven: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.75. Emmen: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Eindhoven: 76-90+ (13 goals). Emmen: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Eindhoven holds a clear home advantage, as confirmed by their home record: a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium. The hosts demonstrate better efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.87 goals with an xG of 1.5, while Emmen in away matches scores only 1.13 goals on average with an xG of 1.4. Emmen has very poor away form with 60% losses and a negative goal difference (-14), which further diminishes their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (Eindhoven 1.2 PPG, Emmen 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and Eindhoven's superior statistics on their own ground point to a home victory. It should be noted, though, that both teams have a tendency to concede goals, which could result in a close match or a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data indicates a high propensity for BTTS: Eindhoven has a 65% BTTS rate, and Emmen 60%, against a league average of 63% and high league scoring (3.2 goals/match). Both defenses concede many chances: Eindhoven allows 1.71 goals/match, and Emmen as many as 2.07, supporting the scenario with goals from both sides. The xG metrics are consistent with offensive play (xG for: 1.63 vs 1.40), and xG against is relatively high (1.49 vs 1.66), increasing the chances of at least one goal for each team. Emmen has a very low clean sheet percentage (7%), so the host is highly likely to score, and simultaneously, Eindhoven also rarely keeps a clean sheet (24%). Furthermore, Eindhoven's BTTS form in the last 5 matches is 100%, which is a strong signal for the "BTTS: Yes" bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal forecast is high because Eindhoven average 1.94 goals scored at home, and Emmen concede 2.07 goals away on average, which supports elevated expected goals for the hosts. From an xG perspective, both sides generate solid values (xG for: 1.63 vs 1.40), and their defenses allow many chances (xG against: 1.49 and 1.66), which boosts the total expected_goals to around 3.26. Seasonal data for the 1.5 line is very strong: Over 1.5 occurs in 82% of Eindhoven's matches and 80% of Emmen's matches, while clean sheets are low (24% and 7%). The 2.5 market also makes sense (65% and 60%), and Eindhoven's last 5 matches show 100% Over 2.5 and 100% BTTS, indicating open matches. The 3.5 line is more volatile, even though the hosts often play high-scoring games (59% Over 3.5), so the best, safest choice remains Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Eindhoven has significantly better 'baseline' parameters than Emmen: 1.35 PPG vs 0.93, along with an attacking advantage (1.94 goals/match) against the visitors' poor defence (2.07 conceded/match). Emmen rarely leads at the break (13%), while frequently drawing at HT (53%) and having a very high rate of first-half clean sheets conceded (73%), which strengthens the scenario of a draw at half-time. In the second half, the visitors concede a lot (1.27 goals/2H) and have a weak points record (0.73 PPG), whereas Eindhoven performs better points-wise (1.47 PPG) and defensively (0.65 conceded/2H) after the break. The high average goals (3.65 for the hosts and 3.2 for the visitors) and BTTS rates of 65%/60% suggest a match with goals and a higher chance of Eindhoven securing the result in the second half. Therefore, the strongest HT/FT bet is X/1, with 1/1 being a significant hedge as an alternative, closely related scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eindhoven | Emmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Emmen is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.4 pts / match - Emmen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Emmen is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.56 goals / match - Emmen
Eindhoven is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.88 goals / match - Emmen
Eindhoven scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Emmen keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Emmen scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eindhoven
Over / Under - Emmen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eindhoven is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.22 pts / match - Emmen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eindhoven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Emmen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eindhoven
Emmen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Eindhoven | Liga | Emmen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.22 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eindhoven 0 - 0 - 1 Emmen. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eindhoven vs Emmen?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Eindhoven 1:0 Emmen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eindhoven vs Emmen?
Eindhoven score 1.44 goals per game on average and Emmen 1.56. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Eindhoven's matches and 63% of Emmen's.
What form are Eindhoven and Emmen in?
Over the last 5 games Eindhoven have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Emmen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eindhoven vs Emmen?
The statistical background for Eindhoven vs Emmen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.