Eindhoven vs Roda JC: match statistics
Eindhoven vs Roda JC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Eindhoven played Roda JC in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Eindhoven: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Roda JC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Eindhoven scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Roda JC scores 1.54 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Eindhoven 49%, Roda JC 63%. Over 2.5: Eindhoven 63%, Roda JC 60%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Roda JC has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.57. Eindhoven: 14.4 shots per match, Roda JC: 14.1.
Match halves
Eindhoven: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.77. Roda JC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Eindhoven: 76-90+ (14 goals). Roda JC: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Roda JC is a narrow favorite: they sit 9th versus Eindhoven in 12th and have 54 goals scored this season compared to Eindhoven’s 49, with Roda’s away goal difference at +7 versus Eindhoven’s home +4. The biggest advantage for the visitors is defensively: Eindhoven concedes on average 1.59 goals at home (63 conceded this season), while Roda concedes 1.35 away (49 conceded this season). Roda also less frequently finish matches goalless — in 12% of away games versus 24% of Eindhoven’s home games — and have a higher away win rate (53% vs 47% home wins), which increases the probability the visitors will score. On the other hand Eindhoven have slightly better form over the last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 points per game versus Roda’s 1.0, and score 1.82 goals per home match versus Roda’s 1.76 away, but in those five matches the hosts have conceded 9 goals versus Roda’s 4. xG and shot volume are similar (xG 1.55 vs 1.52, about 13.8 shots per match and 5.35 vs 5.12 shots on target), so the result may be decided by Roda’s superior defensive resilience and lower percentage of games without a goal — therefore I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario because Roda has a seasonal BTTS rate of 76% versus Eindhoven's 50%, while the league average BTTS is 62%. Eindhoven have conceded 63 goals this season (1.44 per match) compared to Roda's 49 goals (1.35 per match); additionally Eindhoven have let in 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per match), increasing the likelihood of the visitors scoring. On chance creation, xG is 1.65 for Eindhoven and 1.52 for Roda, with a combined xG_for around 3.17, very close to the league average of 3.21, suggesting a game with opportunities at both ends. Shooting metrics are similar (shots on target 5.17 vs 5.12), while Roda has higher finishing efficiency (13% vs 9%) and strong away over 2.5 stats (76%) plus over 2.5+BTTS at 65%, which reinforces the signal for both teams to score. Based on the above I assess BTTS probability at 74% (Yes) and 26% (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Eindhoven have an attacking xG of 1.65, Roda an attacking xG of 1.52, and the defenses concede xG of 1.56 (Roda against) and 1.40 (Eindhoven against), which yields expected goals (1.65+1.56)/2 = 1.61 for Eindhoven and (1.52+1.40)/2 = 1.46 for Roda, total 3.07. With this goal total (λ=3.07) a Poisson distribution estimates roughly an 81% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 59% for Over 2.5 and about 37% for Over 3.5. Seasonal figures reinforce this picture: Over 1.5 occurs in 78% of Eindhoven’s matches and 88% of Roda’s (average 83%), while Over 2.5 is 44% versus 76% (average 60%; league 64%) — additionally Eindhoven have 80% Over 2.5 in their last 5 matches. Roda have 76% of matches with both teams scoring, and shot and conversion stats (14.44 vs 13.76 shots; conversion rates 9% vs 13%) show both sides create scoring opportunities. Therefore the strongest and most likely signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5), which I estimate at approximately 83% (Poisson ~81% adjusted by seasonal 78/88%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Halftime statistics favor Roda: the visitors led at the break in 35% of matches, Eindhoven only in 17%, and the average share of halftime draws (39% for the hosts and 29% for the visitors) is about 34%. At full time Roda is stronger — they win 53% of matches versus Eindhoven’s 22%, which in a simplified model translates to roughly a 49% chance of an away victory. Additionally, Roda performs well in second halves (32 points collected in second halves, an average of 1.88 points and 53% wins in second halves), so a lead at the break is often maintained or extended; therefore the 2/2 scenario received the highest weight of 26%. The second strong signal is a halftime draw followed by a Roda win (X/2 18%), since Eindhoven records 39% draws at halftime at home and in their last five matches scored only 0.2 goals on average by halftime, which favors low first-half scores. Scenarios in which Eindhoven lead at the break and hold the win are less likely (estimated HT1 ~26%), hence 1/1 has only 6% and 1/X 15%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Eindhoven | Roda JC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eindhoven is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1 pts / match - Roda JC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roda JC is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.54 goals / match - Roda JC
Roda JC is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Eindhoven · 1.4 goals / match - Roda JC
Eindhoven scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Roda JC keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
Roda JC scores in 80% of matches (28 of 35 matches), while Eindhoven keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Eindhoven
Over / Under - Roda JC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eindhoven is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Eindhoven · 1.11 pts / match - Roda JC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Eindhoven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Roda JC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Eindhoven
Roda JC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Eindhoven | Liga | Roda JC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.20 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 62% | • 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 21% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Eindhoven 0 - 1 - 0 Roda JC. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Eindhoven vs Roda JC?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Eindhoven 1:3 Roda JC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Eindhoven vs Roda JC?
Eindhoven score 1.40 goals per game on average and Roda JC 1.54. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Eindhoven's matches and 63% of Roda JC's.
What form are Eindhoven and Roda JC in?
Over the last 5 games Eindhoven have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Roda JC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Eindhoven vs Roda JC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.