El Bayadh vs USM Alger: match statistics
USM Alger is the decisive favorite for this meeting. El Bayadh occupies 16th place in the table with only 20% win effectiveness at home and a goal difference of -5 in home matches. The hosts have scored only 11 goals all season and suffer a massive 60% loss rate at their own stadium. USM Alger presents significantly better form with 38% wins on the road, a positive goal difference of +3, and only 13% losses in away matches. The visitors also have better shooting efficiency (17% shot conversion vs 4% for the hosts) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.25 vs 0.7 for the hosts at home). Form in the last 5 matches also speaks for USM Alger (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG). Taking all statistics into account, a victory for the visitors is the most likely result.
El Bayadh vs USM Alger: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Bayadh played USM Alger in Ligue 1 (Algeria). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
El Bayadh: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. USM Alger: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Bayadh scores 0.55 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. USM Alger scores 1.19 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Bayadh 40%, USM Alger 63%. Over 2.5: El Bayadh 20%, USM Alger 31%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
USM Alger has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.51. El Bayadh: 12.4 shots per match, USM Alger: 9.6.
Match halves
El Bayadh: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.50. USM Alger: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
El Bayadh: 76-90+ (5 goals). USM Alger: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
USM Alger is the decisive favorite for this meeting. El Bayadh occupies 16th place in the table with only 20% win effectiveness at home and a goal difference of -5 in home matches. The hosts have scored only 11 goals all season and suffer a massive 60% loss rate at their own stadium. USM Alger presents significantly better form with 38% wins on the road, a positive goal difference of +3, and only 13% losses in away matches. The visitors also have better shooting efficiency (17% shot conversion vs 4% for the hosts) and a higher average of goals scored away (1.25 vs 0.7 for the hosts at home). Form in the last 5 matches also speaks for USM Alger (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG). Taking all statistics into account, a victory for the visitors is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Bayadh | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USM Alger is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
0.55 goals / match - El Bayadh · 1.19 goals / match - USM Alger
USM Alger is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - El Bayadh · 0.88 goals / match - USM Alger
El Bayadh scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while USM Alger keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
USM Alger scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while El Bayadh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Bayadh
Over / Under - USM Alger
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USM Alger is 162% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.55 pts / match - El Bayadh · 1.44 pts / match - USM Alger
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Bayadh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 10%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
USM Alger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Bayadh
USM Alger
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| El Bayadh | Liga | USM Alger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.85 | 2.09 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 31% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Bayadh 0 - 1 - 0 USM Alger. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Bayadh vs USM Alger?
The Ligue 1 match finished El Bayadh 0:0 USM Alger. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Bayadh vs USM Alger?
El Bayadh score 0.55 goals per game on average and USM Alger 1.19. The Ligue 1 average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 40% of El Bayadh's matches and 63% of USM Alger's.
What form are El Bayadh and USM Alger in?
Over the last 5 games El Bayadh have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and USM Alger 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Bayadh vs USM Alger?
The statistical background for El Bayadh vs USM Alger — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.