El Geish vs Al Ahly: match statistics
Al Ahly displays significantly higher form and quality compared to El Geish. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with an impressive record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 1 defeat, while the hosts are ranked 16th with just 4 wins this season. Al Ahly remains unbeaten in away matches (0% losses), winning 44% of games and drawing 56%, with an average of 1.78 goals per match. El Geish wins only 22% of their home clashes, conceding an average of 1 goal while scoring just 0.56 per game, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. Al Ahly's superiority in possession (66% vs 51%), shot conversion (11% vs 4%), and higher xG (1.76 vs 1.38) further confirms their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Al Ahly: dwwdw vs El Geish: dldww) and the clear difference in points per match over the last 5 games (2.2 vs 1.6) unequivocally point to an away victory.
El Geish vs Al Ahly: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Geish played Al Ahly in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 9 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
El Geish: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Al Ahly: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Geish scores 0.63 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Al Ahly scores 1.68 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Geish 32%, Al Ahly 63%. Over 2.5: El Geish 32%, Al Ahly 42%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.27. El Geish: 11.5 shots per match, Al Ahly: 15.9.
Match halves
El Geish: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42. Al Ahly: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
El Geish: 76-90+ (4 goals). Al Ahly: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.03 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly displays significantly higher form and quality compared to El Geish. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with an impressive record of 11 wins, 7 draws, and only 1 defeat, while the hosts are ranked 16th with just 4 wins this season. Al Ahly remains unbeaten in away matches (0% losses), winning 44% of games and drawing 56%, with an average of 1.78 goals per match. El Geish wins only 22% of their home clashes, conceding an average of 1 goal while scoring just 0.56 per game, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. Al Ahly's superiority in possession (66% vs 51%), shot conversion (11% vs 4%), and higher xG (1.76 vs 1.38) further confirms their dominance. The recent form of both teams (Al Ahly: dwwdw vs El Geish: dldww) and the clear difference in points per match over the last 5 games (2.2 vs 1.6) unequivocally point to an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Geish | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - El Geish · 2.6 pts / match - Al Ahly
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 167% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - El Geish · 1.68 goals / match - Al Ahly
Al Ahly is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - El Geish · 0.89 goals / match - Al Ahly
El Geish scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Al Ahly scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while El Geish keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Geish
Over / Under - Al Ahly
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 112% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - El Geish · 1.89 pts / match - Al Ahly
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Geish - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Geish
Al Ahly
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Geish | Liga | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.84 | 2.03 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 47% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of El Geish vs Al Ahly?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Geish 2:1 Al Ahly. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Geish vs Al Ahly?
El Geish score 0.63 goals per game on average and Al Ahly 1.68. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of El Geish's matches and 63% of Al Ahly's.
What form are El Geish and Al Ahly in?
Over the last 5 games El Geish have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Al Ahly 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Geish vs Al Ahly?
The statistical background for El Geish vs Al Ahly — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.