El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla: match statistics
El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Geish play Ghazl El Mehalla in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match date is 7 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
El Geish: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ghazl El Mehalla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Geish scores 0.64 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.82 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Geish 27%, Ghazl El Mehalla 39%. Over 2.5: El Geish 27%, Ghazl El Mehalla 24%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
El Geish has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.11. El Geish: 11.0 shots per match, Ghazl El Mehalla: 8.8.
Match halves
El Geish: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.30. Ghazl El Mehalla: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
El Geish: 31-45+ (7 goals). Ghazl El Mehalla: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I expect a draw: Ghazl El Mehalla draws unusually often away (54% of away matches) and in the last 5 games recorded 4 draws and 1 win, translating to an average of 1.4 points in that period versus 1.0 point for El Geish. El Geish at home generates significantly more chances (avg. 12.62 shots, 3.31 on target and xG 1.35) than the visitors (8.69 shots, 2.62 on target and xG 1.09), which is the hosts’ main advantage. However, finishing favors Ghazl — conversion 12% versus 7% for El Geish and an average of 1.08 away goals versus 0.85 home goals, so the visitors can capitalize on limited opportunities. Defensively El Geish performs better at home (0.92 goals conceded at home vs 1.08 conceded by Ghazl away and xG against 1.25 vs 1.44), which constrains the opponents’ goal threat. Considering these figures I assign 30% probability to a home win, 45% to a draw and 25% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Geish | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - El Geish · 1.4 pts / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.64 goals / match - El Geish · 0.82 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Ghazl El Mehalla is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - El Geish · 0.79 goals / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
El Geish scores in 48% of matches (16 of 33 matches), while Ghazl El Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 55% (18 of 33 matches).
Ghazl El Mehalla scores in 52% of matches (17 of 33 matches), while El Geish keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — El Geish
Over / Under — Ghazl El Mehalla
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Geish is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - El Geish · 1.03 pts / match - Ghazl El Mehalla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Geish - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ghazl El Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Geish
Ghazl El Mehalla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Geish | Liga | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 35% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Geish 0 - 1 - 0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Geish 1:0 Ghazl El Mehalla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
El Geish score 0.64 goals per game on average and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.82. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 27% of El Geish's matches and 39% of Ghazl El Mehalla's.
What form are El Geish and Ghazl El Mehalla in?
Over the last 5 games El Geish have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.