El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt: match statistics
El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Geish played National Bank of Egypt in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
El Geish: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. National Bank of Egypt: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Geish scores 0.64 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. National Bank of Egypt scores 1.05 and concedes 0.77. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Geish 32%, National Bank of Egypt 45%. Over 2.5: El Geish 32%, National Bank of Egypt 27%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
National Bank of Egypt has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.26. El Geish: 11.4 shots per match, National Bank of Egypt: 12.1.
Match halves
El Geish: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.41. National Bank of Egypt: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
El Geish: 76-90+ (4 goals). National Bank of Egypt: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
National Bank of Egypt is the favorite: they have 23 goals this season versus El Geish’s 14 and have scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 4. Visitors average 4.45 shots on target away with an 11% conversion rate, while hosts have 3.2 shots on target and 5% conversion, indicating clearly superior finishing efficiency for the visitors. Defensively the advantage is also with the visitors — they concede 0.55 goals on average away and keep 55% clean sheets, whereas El Geish concedes 1.0 goal in home matches and has 30% clean sheets. Interestingly, average xG is similar (1.38 for the hosts at home vs 1.37 for the visitors away), suggesting comparable quality of chances created, but the visitors convert them better; additionally the hosts have a home goal difference of -3, while the visitors are +7 on the road. Considering form (El Geish in last 5: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses and 0.8 points per match; National Bank: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses and 1.0 points per match), I assess probabilities as 60% for the visitors, 25% for a draw and 15% for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics give mixed signals: El Geish has a season BTTS 55% and scores 0.91 while conceding 1.00 per match, whereas National Bank posts a season BTTS 36%, scores 1.18 and concedes only 0.55 per match. However, in the last 5 fixtures both teams have more frequently produced Goal/Goal outcomes — El Geish shows BTTS 60% (4 goals scored and 8 conceded, averaging 0.8 and 1.6), and National Bank has BTTS 80% (8 scored and 9 conceded, averaging 1.6 and 1.8). xG comparison indicates both sides create chances: El Geish xG_for 1.43 vs xG_against 1.12, and National Bank xG_for 1.37 vs xG_against 1.00, suggesting a real possibility of goals from both teams. Additionally, National Bank averages more shots on target (4.45 vs 3.36) and a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 7%), which increases the likelihood that despite season-long clean sheet figures for National Bank, they may still concede given current form. Considering the stronger signals from the last 5 matches, the higher xG (~1.4 for each team) and shot volumes, I rate BTTS - Yes at 65% versus 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast total expected goals of 2.30: El Geish 1.05 and National Bank 1.25. Calculations are based on xG: El Geish has xG_for 1.43 versus the opponent’s average xG_conceded 1.00 (simple mean 1.22), but El Geish actually scores 0.91 goals per match and has a low shot conversion rate of 7%, so I adjusted the home expectation down to 1.05. National Bank has xG_for 1.37 against the home side’s xG_against 1.12 (mean 1.25), with a season scoring average of 1.18 and a conversion rate of 11%; additionally, in the last 5 matches the visitors averaged 1.6 goals, so I assigned them 1.25. The total 2.30 in a Poisson model yields about a 67% probability of Over 1.5, ~40% for Over 2.5 and ~20% for Over 3.5; this correlates with seasonal indicators where Over1.5 is 55% for both teams, while Over2.5 is 18% (El Geish) and 36% (National Bank). For these reasons the strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 — a moderately higher probability (67%) relative to the risk, whereas Over 2.5/3.5 do not offer sufficient value (40% and 20%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears most likely: the home team scores on average 0.36 goals by the break, the visitors 0.45, with a first-half average of 0.73 between both sides. Additionally, the home team were level at the break in 82% of matches and the visitors in 55%, which boosts the probability of an X at Half-Time. After the interval the advantage shifts to the visitors – National Bank averages 0.73 goals in the second half and has a +5 goal differential in second halves, while El Geish have a -1 differential and concede on average 0.64 goals after the break. Seasonal indicators further favour the visitors: 1.64 points per game and a 36% win rate for National Bank versus 1.09 points and an 18% win rate for El Geish, and the visitors concede only 0.55 goals per match compared to 1.00 for the home side. Despite similar xG (1.43 for the home team vs 1.37 for the visitors), the visitors’ higher conversion rate (11% vs 7%) increases the chance of a goal after the break; therefore I tip a Half-Time draw and a visitor victory at Full-Time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Geish | National Bank of Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Geish is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - El Geish · 1 pts / match - National Bank of Egypt
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
National Bank of Egypt is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
0.64 goals / match - El Geish · 1.05 goals / match - National Bank of Egypt
National Bank of Egypt is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - El Geish · 0.77 goals / match - National Bank of Egypt
El Geish scores in 45% of matches (10 of 22 matches), while National Bank of Egypt keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
National Bank of Egypt scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while El Geish keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Geish
Over / Under - National Bank of Egypt
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
National Bank of Egypt is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - El Geish · 1.23 pts / match - National Bank of Egypt
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Geish - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
National Bank of Egypt - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Geish
National Bank of Egypt
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Geish | Liga | National Bank of Egypt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.77 | 1.98 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 32% | 32% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 35% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Geish 0 - 1 - 0 National Bank of Egypt. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Geish 1:0 National Bank of Egypt. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt?
El Geish score 0.64 goals per game on average and National Bank of Egypt 1.05. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 32% of El Geish's matches and 45% of National Bank of Egypt's.
What form are El Geish and National Bank of Egypt in?
Over the last 5 games El Geish have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and National Bank of Egypt 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Geish vs National Bank of Egypt: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.