El Gounah vs Al Ittihad: match statistics
El Gounah vs Al Ittihad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Gounah played Al Ittihad in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
El Gounah: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Al Ittihad: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Gounah scores 0.76 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Al Ittihad scores 0.76 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Gounah 43%, Al Ittihad 38%. Over 2.5: El Gounah 14%, Al Ittihad 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
El Gounah has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.16. El Gounah: 10.7 shots per match, Al Ittihad: 9.8.
Match halves
El Gounah: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.62. Al Ittihad: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
El Gounah: 76-90+ (8 goals). Al Ittihad: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw because the data point to low goal expectancy and a strong tendency for the home side to share points. El Gounah has recorded as many as 70% draws at home and only 20% losses, conceding 0.9 goals per home match versus Al Ittihad’s 1.3 conceded on the road. Chance quality favors the hosts: El Gounah’s average home xG is 1.26 with 11.8 shots (2.8 on target), while the visitors register 1.04 xG and 9.7 shots (2.4 on target), yet both teams score only about 0.6 goals per game. Recent form over the last 5 matches is comparable (El Gounah 1.2 points per game, Al Ittihad 1.4), and the 5-game goal records are 3 scored/4 conceded for the hosts and 4 scored/3 conceded for the visitors, hence an elevated probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I prefer BTTS - No: I suggest a 70% on 'no' and 30% on 'yes'. Both teams have low seasonal BTTS rates: El Gounah 36% and Al Ittihad 40%, and in the last 5 matches each recorded only 20% BTTS, indicating a trend of limited mutual scoring. The combined average goals scored by both teams is only 1.51 (0.91 + 0.60), while combined xG is 2.31 (1.27 + 1.04), pointing to a lack of finishing — conversion rate is 9% for the home side and 6% for the away. In the league 68% of matches end with a clean sheet for one of the teams, and individual clean sheet percentages are 36% (El Gounah) and 30% (Al Ittihad), further favoring the No BTTS scenario. Although Al Ittihad concedes 25 goals this season (avg 1.3 per match with xG against 1.53), they only score 0.6 goals with 2.4 shots on target per match, while El Gounah has higher xG (1.27) and 3.45 shots on target, so any goals are most likely to be one-sided — therefore I choose 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Forecast based on xG and observed averages indicates a total of about 2.03 goals: El Gounah 1.16 and Al Ittihad 0.87. Calculations: El Gounah xG 1.27 and Al Ittihad defensive xG 1.53 yield an expected xG ~1.40 for the home side, but El Gounah’s actual goals scored average is 0.91, so I averaged to 1.16; similarly away xG 1.04 and home defensive xG 1.23 give ~1.14, yet Al Ittihad’s season goals average is 0.60, so I used 0.87. Both teams have few shots on target (3.45 and 2.4) and low conversion rates (9% and 6%), and in the last 5 matches El Gounah scored 3 goals and Al Ittihad 4, confirming limited finishing. Historically over 3.5 occurred 0% for the home side and 20% for the away side, and the league average is 2.0 goals/match, so the probability of 4+ goals is low. A Poisson model with λ=2.03 gives Over 3.5 around 15% (Under 3.5 ~85%), therefore I recommend the under at line 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a home win, therefore I select HT/FT X/1. Hosts were level at the break in 45% of matches, visitors in 40%, and in the last five fixtures both teams were tied at half-time in 80% of cases, which strongly favors a tie at the interval. Few goals are scored before the break — hosts average 0.27 goals, visitors 0.10, and hosts kept a clean sheet at half-time in 64% of matches, boosting the probability of 0–0/1–0. After the break the situation favors the home side: average second-half goals are 1.27 for hosts versus 1.10 for visitors, 82% of home matches see at least one goal after the break vs 70% for visitors, hosts’ xG is 1.27 vs 1.04 and they register more on-target shots 3.45 vs 2.40. Additionally, hosts’ average points per game 1.27 vs 0.70 and win rate 36% vs 20% mean the X/1 scenario received the largest share (40%), with a moderate probability of a full-time draw (X/X 18%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Gounah | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Gounah is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - El Gounah · 1.4 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Gounah is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - El Gounah · 1.19 goals / match - Al Ittihad
El Gounah scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Al Ittihad keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Al Ittihad scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Gounah
Over / Under - Al Ittihad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Gounah is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - El Gounah · 0.71 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ittihad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Gounah
Al Ittihad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Gounah | Liga | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.48 | 2.00 | • 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 57% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Gounah 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ittihad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Gounah vs Al Ittihad?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Gounah 0:0 Al Ittihad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Gounah vs Al Ittihad?
El Gounah score 0.76 goals per game on average and Al Ittihad 0.76. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 43% of El Gounah's matches and 38% of Al Ittihad's.
What form are El Gounah and Al Ittihad in?
Over the last 5 games El Gounah have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Al Ittihad 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Gounah vs Al Ittihad?
The statistical background for El Gounah vs Al Ittihad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.