El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon: match statistics
I predict a draw in this match based on the statistical analysis of both teams. El Gounah presents very poor home form with 71% draws and no wins at home this season, making them unpredictable yet difficult to beat on their own turf. Al Mokawloon shows better recent form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1 PPG for the hosts), but their away record is balanced (33% wins, draws, and losses). The low scoring rate of both teams (43-44% FTS%) and similar average goals per match (1.71 vs 1.67) suggest a close encounter. The visitors' form in their last five away matches includes two wins, but history shows that El Gounah very frequently shares points at their home stadium, making a draw the most probable result.
El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Gounah play Al Mokawloon in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match date is 23 February 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
El Gounah: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Mokawloon: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Gounah scores 0.79 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Al Mokawloon scores 0.85 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Gounah 42%, Al Mokawloon 52%. Over 2.5: El Gounah 18%, Al Mokawloon 24%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Mokawloon has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.15. El Gounah: 9.7 shots per match, Al Mokawloon: 10.7.
Match halves
El Gounah: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.55. Al Mokawloon: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
El Gounah: 76-90+ (12 goals). Al Mokawloon: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw in this match based on the statistical analysis of both teams. El Gounah presents very poor home form with 71% draws and no wins at home this season, making them unpredictable yet difficult to beat on their own turf. Al Mokawloon shows better recent form (2 PPG in the last 5 matches vs 1 PPG for the hosts), but their away record is balanced (33% wins, draws, and losses). The low scoring rate of both teams (43-44% FTS%) and similar average goals per match (1.71 vs 1.67) suggest a close encounter. The visitors' form in their last five away matches includes two wins, but history shows that El Gounah very frequently shares points at their home stadium, making a draw the most probable result.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Gounah | Al Mokawloon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Mokawloon is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - El Gounah · 1.8 pts / match - Al Mokawloon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Mokawloon is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - El Gounah · 0.85 goals / match - Al Mokawloon
El Gounah is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - El Gounah · 0.94 goals / match - Al Mokawloon
El Gounah scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Al Mokawloon keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
Al Mokawloon scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — El Gounah
Over / Under — Al Mokawloon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Mokawloon is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - El Gounah · 1.42 pts / match - Al Mokawloon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Mokawloon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Gounah
Al Mokawloon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Gounah | Liga | Al Mokawloon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.52 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 35% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Gounah 0 - 0 - 1 Al Mokawloon. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Gounah 1:1 Al Mokawloon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?
El Gounah score 0.79 goals per game on average and Al Mokawloon 0.85. The Egyptian Premier League average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 42% of El Gounah's matches and 52% of Al Mokawloon's.
What form are El Gounah and Al Mokawloon in?
Over the last 5 games El Gounah have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Mokawloon 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon?
The statistical background for El Gounah vs Al Mokawloon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.