El Gounah vs Kahraba Ismailia: match statistics
El Gounah vs Kahraba Ismailia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Gounah played Kahraba Ismailia in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
El Gounah: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kahraba Ismailia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Gounah scores 0.72 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Kahraba Ismailia scores 1.07 and concedes 1.66. League average: 1.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Gounah 38%, Kahraba Ismailia 69%. Over 2.5: El Gounah 14%, Kahraba Ismailia 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Kahraba Ismailia has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.12. El Gounah: 9.6 shots per match, Kahraba Ismailia: 9.2.
Match halves
El Gounah: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48. Kahraba Ismailia: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
El Gounah: 76-90+ (8 goals). Kahraba Ismailia: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.98 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the draw: the home side have as many as 69% draws at home and only 15% wins, with home goals per match of 0.62 scored and 0.77 conceded, indicating defensive stability and poor offensive conversion. Visitors Kahraba Ismailia average 3.25 on-target shots away, have a conversion rate of 15% and score 1.25 goals on the road, but have conceded 48 goals this season and 1.17 goals on average away, revealing defensive weakness. In the last 5 matches El Gounah scored 5 and conceded 4, earning 1.6 points per match, while Kahraba in that period have 6 scored and 8 conceded and 1.4 points per match, giving the hosts a slight form advantage. Additionally, the home xG is 1.21 versus 1.08 xG for the visitors away, so El Gounah creates slightly more expected chances but converts less in reality (0.62 vs 1.25), which increases the probability of a low-scoring, balanced game. Considering the home side’s strong draw tendency (69%), better home defense (0.77 conceded per match) and the visitors’ higher shot efficiency, I assess the probabilities as: draw 45%, home win 35%, away win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors BTTS - Yes: El Gounah has a season BTTS rate of 76% with averages of 0.94 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match, while Kahraba Ismailia posts 58% BTTS with 1.25 scored and 1.17 conceded. Clean sheets are rare — El Gounah kept 12% clean sheets, Kahraba 25%, and Kahraba conceded 48 goals this season, indicating defensive vulnerability. In the last 5 matches Kahraba registered BTTS in 80% of games, whereas El Gounah only 40%; recent averages are 1.0 and 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 and 1.6 conceded (El Gounah/Kahraba), which favors goals from both sides. xG and shot data confirm chance exchange: xG for/against 1.20 vs 1.55 for El Gounah and 1.08 vs 1.53 for Kahraba, while on-target shots ~3.12 vs 3.25 and conversion 10% vs 15% suggest Kahraba is more clinical. Overall high season BTTS (76%/58%), low clean sheet percentages (12%/25%) and strong BTTS signals from Kahraba in the last 5 matches support a BTTS - Yes selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on offensive and defensive xG (1.20 attacking xG for El Gounah vs 1.08 for Kahraba, and xG conceded 1.55 for El Gounah vs 1.53 for Kahraba) I estimate 1.36 xG for the home side and 1.32 xG for the away side, totaling ~2.68 expected goals. Seasonal data shows El Gounah exceeds 1.5 goals in 76% of matches and Kahraba in 75% (average 75.5%), which combined with xG=2.68 provides a strong signal for Over 1.5. For the 2.5 line the picture is more balanced: seasonal Over2.5 rates are 59% (home) and 50% (away), while the last 5 matches give divergent figures (20% for home vs 80% for away), thus I rate Over 2.5 as moderate (around 56%). For 3.5 season values are 35% and 17% (average 26%) and xG=2.68 together with average shots 9.76 vs 8.33 and conversion 10% vs 15% do not support regularly reaching 4+ goals, so Under 3.5 is decidedly more likely. Additionally, the high share of BTTS — 76% for home and 58% for away — and Kahraba’s 48 goals conceded increase the chances of goals from both sides and underscore Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2) — I assigned it a 36% probability. A draw at the break appears natural, as the home side were level at half-time in 53% of matches and the visitors in 50%, with low average first-half goals: 0.76 for the home team and 0.75 for the away team. Kahraba has a significant advantage for the full match: 50% win rate and 1.75 points per game versus the home side’s 0% win rate and 0.35 points, and he also contributes more goals, 1.25 vs 0.94. The second half favors turnarounds — 88% of the home team’s matches and 92% of the visitors’ matches had at least 0.5 goals after the break, and the visitors demonstrate better shot conversion, 15% versus 10%, which increases their chance of a turnaround in the second half. Therefore, besides X/2 (36%) as the primary pick I consider X/X (17%) and 2/2 (20%) as realistic alternatives, while scenarios where the home team leads at the break add up to only 12%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Gounah | Kahraba Ismailia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Gounah is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - El Gounah · 1.4 pts / match - Kahraba Ismailia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kahraba Ismailia is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - El Gounah · 1.07 goals / match - Kahraba Ismailia
El Gounah is 141% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.69 goals / match - El Gounah · 1.66 goals / match - Kahraba Ismailia
El Gounah scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Kahraba Ismailia keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
Kahraba Ismailia scores in 79% of matches (23 of 29 matches), while El Gounah keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Gounah
Over / Under - Kahraba Ismailia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Gounah - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kahraba Ismailia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Gounah
Kahraba Ismailia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| El Gounah | Liga | Kahraba Ismailia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.41 | 1.98 | ▲ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 33% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 35% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 41% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Gounah 1 - 0 - 0 Kahraba Ismailia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Gounah vs Kahraba Ismailia?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished El Gounah 0:1 Kahraba Ismailia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Gounah vs Kahraba Ismailia?
El Gounah score 0.72 goals per game on average and Kahraba Ismailia 1.07. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 38% of El Gounah's matches and 69% of Kahraba Ismailia's.
What form are El Gounah and Kahraba Ismailia in?
Over the last 5 games El Gounah have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kahraba Ismailia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Gounah vs Kahraba Ismailia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.