El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: match statistics
El Kanemi Warriors demonstrate impressive home form with a 79% home win rate and a +16 goal difference, reflecting their dominance at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.43 goals per home game while conceding just 0.29, achieving an exceptional 79% clean sheet rate. Katsina United performs very poorly in away matches - only a 15% win rate, 62% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors score an average of only 0.38 goals on the road and fail to score in 69% of their away fixtures. Considering the xG advantage (0.96 vs 1.79 for opponents) and the current form of both teams, a distinct advantage belongs to the hosts, who should confidently win this matchup.
El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Kanemi Warriors played Katsina United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
El Kanemi Warriors: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Katsina United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Kanemi Warriors scores 0.90 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. Katsina United scores 0.79 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Kanemi Warriors 24%, Katsina United 29%. Over 2.5: El Kanemi Warriors 41%, Katsina United 14%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Katsina United has higher xG: 1.08 vs 1.07. El Kanemi Warriors: 2.4 shots per match, Katsina United: 3.4.
Match halves
El Kanemi Warriors: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Katsina United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
El Kanemi Warriors: 31-45+ (7 goals). Katsina United: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.87 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Kanemi Warriors demonstrate impressive home form with a 79% home win rate and a +16 goal difference, reflecting their dominance at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.43 goals per home game while conceding just 0.29, achieving an exceptional 79% clean sheet rate. Katsina United performs very poorly in away matches - only a 15% win rate, 62% loss rate, and a negative goal difference of -10. The visitors score an average of only 0.38 goals on the road and fail to score in 69% of their away fixtures. Considering the xG advantage (0.96 vs 1.79 for opponents) and the current form of both teams, a distinct advantage belongs to the hosts, who should confidently win this matchup.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Kanemi Warriors | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 10% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.45 | 0.32 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 3.75 | 0.85 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Katsina United is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.4 pts / match - Katsina United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Kanemi Warriors is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 0.79 goals / match - Katsina United
Katsina United is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 0.86 goals / match - Katsina United
El Kanemi Warriors scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while El Kanemi Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Kanemi Warriors
Over / Under - Katsina United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - El Kanemi Warriors · 1.43 pts / match - Katsina United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Kanemi Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Kanemi Warriors
Katsina United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| El Kanemi Warriors | Liga | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.97 | 1.87 | ▼ 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 36% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: El Kanemi Warriors 0 - 0 - 1 Katsina United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?
The NPFL match finished El Kanemi Warriors 1:1 Katsina United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?
El Kanemi Warriors score 0.90 goals per game on average and Katsina United 0.79. The NPFL average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 24% of El Kanemi Warriors's matches and 29% of Katsina United's.
What form are El Kanemi Warriors and Katsina United in?
Over the last 5 games El Kanemi Warriors have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Katsina United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Kanemi Warriors vs Katsina United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.