El Mansura vs Nasr: match statistics
El Mansura vs Nasr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Mansura played Nasr in Second Division (Egypt). The match was played on 15 October 2026. Venue: al-Manṣūrah Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
El Mansura: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nasr: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Mansura scores 1.13 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Nasr scores 1.38 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Mansura 38%, Nasr 63%. Over 2.5: El Mansura 13%, Nasr 25%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
El Mansura has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.14. El Mansura: 10.0 shots per match, Nasr: 8.0.
Match halves
El Mansura: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00. Nasr: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
El Mansura: 76-90+ (6 goals). Nasr: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Mansura have won 3 of their 4 home matches and remain unbeaten, while Nasr have won just 1 of their 4 away games. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded at home, compared with 1.25 scored and 1.0 conceded by the visitors away from home. El Mansura also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG stands at 1.83, against Nasr’s away xG of 1.49, while they average 7.75 shots on target compared with 4.67. However, Nasr are in good form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 13 goals in that run, so a draw cannot be ruled out. Even so, the hosts’ home record and solid defensive display give them the best chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
El Mansura keep a clean sheet in 50% of their matches and concede an average of just 0.5 goals, limiting Nasr’s chances of scoring. On the other hand, the hosts record only 0.79 xG per match, while Nasr concede an average of 1.0 goal and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors’ statistics point towards both teams scoring: BTTS has occurred in 75% of their matches, compared with 50% of El Mansura’s. Even so, the hosts’ solid defence and the league BTTS rate of 46% slightly tip the assessment towards a scenario in which at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In the teams’ matches so far, at least 4 goals have been scored in only 25% of games, making Under 3.5 goals the strongest pick. El Mansura concede an average of 0.5 goals per match, while Nasr concede 1.0, limiting the likelihood of a very high-scoring game. The league average of 2.23 goals and the fact that both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in only 25% of their matches also support a cautious approach. Nasr have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, making the 2.5-goal line less reliable; the projected total of 2.27 goals offers greater value on Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: El Mansura were level at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Nasr were level in 2 of their 4 away matches. The visitors have yet to score before half-time away from home, further limiting the likelihood of an early lead. After the break, I give the hosts the advantage: they have not conceded in the second half in these 4 matches, and across their matches they have averaged 2.0 points, compared with Nasr’s 1.25 points away from home. The main risk to the X/1 pick is the visitors’ form: over their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.6 goals against the hosts’ 1.2, and their xG is 1.49 compared with El Mansura’s 0.79. Even so, the combination of frequent half-time draws and the hosts’ solid defending after the break points most strongly to a draw at half-time and an El Mansura win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Mansura | Nasr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 56% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nasr is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - El Mansura · 2 pts / match - Nasr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nasr is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - El Mansura · 1.38 goals / match - Nasr
Nasr is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - El Mansura · 0.75 goals / match - Nasr
El Mansura scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Nasr keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Nasr scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while El Mansura keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Mansura
Over / Under - Nasr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nasr is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - El Mansura · 1 pts / match - Nasr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Mansura - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nasr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Mansura
Nasr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| El Mansura | Liga | Nasr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.23 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of El Mansura vs Nasr?
The Second Division match finished El Mansura 1:2 Nasr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before El Mansura vs Nasr?
El Mansura score 1.13 goals per game on average and Nasr 1.38. The Second Division average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 38% of El Mansura's matches and 63% of Nasr's.
What form are El Mansura and Nasr in?
Over the last 5 games El Mansura have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nasr 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Mansura vs Nasr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.