El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Paso Locomotive played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Paso Locomotive scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.50 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Paso Locomotive 67%, Las Vegas Lights 75%. Over 2.5: El Paso Locomotive 100%, Las Vegas Lights 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.33. El Paso Locomotive: 12.3 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 10.3.
Match halves
El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
El Paso Locomotive: 16-30 (3 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso Locomotive appear to be the favorites: they sit 6th, have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, won 4 of 5 and average 2.6 points per match in that span, while Las Vegas Lights are 16th, have 7 goals in their last five, only 1 win and 1.0 point per match. The hosts create far more chances — at home they average 16 shots (7 on target) with xG 1.67 per game, whereas Las Vegas on the road averages 8.33 shots (2.67 on target) with xG 1.17. Defensively El Paso’s advantage is also evident: the hosts conceded 3 goals in their last 5 matches and have an average xG against of 0.97 at home, while Las Vegas conceded 8 goals in their last five and have xG against 1.52 away. At the same time Las Vegas have a higher conversion rate per shot (20% vs 13%), which means that despite limited opportunities they can be dangerous, so a draw or upset is not out of the question; however, the hosts’ superiority in creating chances and current form favors their victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
El Paso Locomotive display a very strong home defense: season clean sheet rate is 100% with a season average of 0.0 goals conceded, and in the last 5 matches they concede 0.6 goals on average (3 conceded in 5). The hosts also dominate chance creation — El Paso xG is 1.80 versus 1.17 for Las Vegas, an average of 16.0 shots and 7.0 shots on target compared to 8.33 and 2.67 for the visitors, although conversion rate is 6% for the hosts and 20% for the visitors. Las Vegas presents a strong BTTS signal: season BTTS 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, but they also concede a lot (2.33 season, 1.6 in the last 5, i.e. 8 conceded). Considering El Paso’s advantage in xG/shots and their 100% home clean sheet record, the signal that the visitors will not score is stronger than Las Vegas’s BTTS signal. I therefore assess BTTS probability at around 35% and No BTTS at 65%, best pick: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on seasonal xG: El Paso has xG_for 1.80 and Las Vegas xG_against 1.52, yielding an expected 1.66 goals for the home side; Las Vegas has xG_for 1.17 versus El Paso xG_against 0.81, i.e. an expected 0.99 goals for the visitors, totaling 2.65 expected goals. Under a Poisson distribution this implies roughly a 74% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~49% for Over 2.5 and ~28% for Over 3.5. Additionally, El Paso averages 7.0 SOT and 16.0 shots per match compared to Las Vegas’s 2.67 SOT and 8.33 shots, and in the last 5 matches El Paso scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) while Las Vegas scored 7 goals (1.4 avg). A counterpoint is Las Vegas’s high finishing rate of 20% (vs 6% for El Paso) and the fact Las Vegas concedes 2.33 goals seasonally and has 100% BTTS on the road, which increases the likelihood of away goals. Considering the modelled 2.65 expected goals, El Paso’s chance creation advantage (7.0 SOT) and form (dwwww, 13 goals in 5), the strongest betting signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso is favored to win after the break: the home side have been level at half-time in 100% of their season matches and have gone on to win 100% of those games, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. In second halves El Paso average 1.0 goals and have scored in 100% of matches after the break, while Las Vegas concedes an average of 1.67 goals after the break and 2.33 goals per game overall. The home advantage is supported by xG of 1.8 versus 1.17 for the visitors and 7.0 shots on target versus 2.67 for Las Vegas, indicating a significant superiority in chance creation and quality. Recent form over the last five matches also favors El Paso (dwwww) over the visitors (ddllw), therefore the strongest scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
2.33 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.5 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
El Paso Locomotive is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.75 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 211% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 0.75 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Paso Locomotive
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.33 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): El Paso Locomotive 2 - 0 - 2 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 3:2 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 2, Las Vegas Lights won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
El Paso Locomotive score 2.33 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.50. The USL Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 75% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.