El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Paso Locomotive played Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Orange County SC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Paso Locomotive scores 1.70 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.33 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Paso Locomotive 63%, Orange County SC 59%. Over 2.5: El Paso Locomotive 63%, Orange County SC 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.18. El Paso Locomotive: 12.6 shots per match, Orange County SC: 10.0.
Match halves
El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.67. Orange County SC: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
El Paso Locomotive: 16-30 (10 goals). Orange County SC: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-3. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso Locomotive are the favourites: they sit 3rd in the table and have recorded 3 wins and scored 11 goals in their last five matches; 11th-placed Orange County SC have won once and scored 3 goals over the same period. At home, the hosts average 1.75 goals and 5.58 shots on target per match, while the visitors average 1.62 goals and 3.62 shots on target away from home. The gap in the quality of chances created is reflected in the average xG: 1.65 for the hosts compared with 1.19 for the visitors. Orange County’s defence could struggle, as away from home they allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.91 and concede 1.69 goals per match. A draw remains a significant possibility, having featured in 46% of the visitors’ away matches, but current scoring form and momentum favour an El Paso win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 77% of Orange County SC’s matches, and the team failed to score in just 8% of them, which points to an away goal. El Paso’s season BTTS rate is 43%, but both teams scored in each of its last 5 matches. The hosts have recently averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Orange County have conceded 2.2, so an El Paso goal also looks likely. Caution is warranted given the visitors’ attacking form: they have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches, while El Paso have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their league games this season. Despite that risk, the visitors’ season scoring record and the hosts’ recent results give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 71% of El Paso’s matches and 85% of Orange County’s, supporting Over 1.5 goals. The visitors concede an average of 1.69 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 15% of games, giving the hosts a clear chance to score. Orange County, meanwhile, score an average of 1.62 goals, while El Paso concede 1.43. However, the visitors’ recent dip in scoring—0.6 goals per match across their last five appearances—limits confidence in higher goal lines. A 2.75-goal forecast supports Over 1.5, while the gap between the teams at the 2.5 line—36% and 54% of matches featuring at least 3 goals—makes it a less convincing pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Orange County have lost 3 of their 5 and scored just 0.6 goals. The home side led at the break in 2 of those 5 matches and were never trailing, while the visitors went into half-time behind in 2 of 5. Over this period, El Paso averaged 1.6 first-half goals compared with Orange County’s mere 0.2, strengthening the case for an early lead. The visitors’ recent average of 2.2 goals conceded and the home side’s tally of 2.0 points per game compared with their opponents’ 0.8 also support El Paso holding on to their advantage. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Orange County have drawn 46% of their matches this season; however, the teams’ current form most strongly points to El Paso leading at the break and winning at full time (HT/FT: 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 0.8 pts / match - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.7 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.33 goals / match - Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.56 goals / match - Orange County SC
El Paso Locomotive scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Orange County SC scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.15 pts / match - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.71 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 - 3 Orange County SC. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 2:1 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Orange County SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 1, Orange County SC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
El Paso Locomotive score 1.70 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 59% of Orange County SC's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Orange County SC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.