El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Paso Locomotive played Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Paso Locomotive scores 2.00 and concedes 1.91 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.25 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Paso Locomotive 82%, Phoenix Rising 42%. Over 2.5: El Paso Locomotive 91%, Phoenix Rising 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.41. El Paso Locomotive: 12.1 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.3.
Match halves
El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.82. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (6 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win (2) because El Paso concedes an average of 3.0 goals per home match with 0% clean sheets, while Phoenix concede 1.33 on the road with 33% clean sheets. El Paso creates more chances at home: 13.2 shots and 5.0 on target per match, with xG 1.52 and an average of 1.8 goals scored, whereas Phoenix away register 9.5 shots, 3.0 on target, xG 1.17 and 1.0 goals per match. The decisive factor is defensive outcomes: El Paso concedes significantly more than their xG against suggests (3.0 goals conceded vs xGAgainst 1.46), indicating susceptibility to errors and goal leakage. In the last 5 matches El Paso scored 6 and conceded 9 (1W-1D-3L), while Phoenix scored 4 and conceded 10 (2W-0D-3L), which corresponds to approximately 0.8 points per match for the home side versus 1.2 for the away side. Therefore I expect an open, high-scoring affair with a slight edge to Phoenix, who are more defensively stable on the road.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the "both teams to score" scenario. The league records BTTS in 55% of matches; seasonally El Paso have BTTS 50% and Phoenix 33%. In the last 5 matches the home side recorded BTTS in 80% of games, while the visitors only 20%, but both teams conceded many goals in those 5 fixtures: El Paso conceded on average 1.8 goals per game, Phoenix 2.0. El Paso create more chances and have higher season xG: xG 1.78 versus 1.17 for Phoenix, plus 6.17 shots on target versus 3.0, and score 1.5 goals per game versus 1.0 for their opponents, which increases the likelihood the hosts will score. Phoenix had a high xG of 1.81 in the last 5 despite only 0.8 goals scored, suggesting inefficiency and potential for improvement; with a defense conceding 2.0 goals per game there is a realistic chance they will find the net. Considering 55% BTTS in the league, 80% of recent home games with BTTS and the visitors' defensive weakness, I estimate BTTS probability at about 65% for 'Yes' and 35% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total goal count of around 2.72, with expected xG: home 1.53 (average of El Paso’s 1.78 offensive xG and Phoenix’s 1.28 defensive xG) and away 1.19 (average of Phoenix’s 1.17 offensive xG and El Paso’s 1.21 defensive xG). Both teams have very high percentages of matches over 1.5 goals: El Paso 100% and Phoenix 83%, so I assign a 92% probability to Over 1.5 and only 8% to Under. The 2.5 line is more balanced: season-long Over 2.5 rates are 33% for the home side and 50% for the away, but the last 5 matches show 60% Over for both, and the combined xG 2.72 slightly favors Over; therefore I rate Over 2.5 at 56% vs 44% Under. Over 3.5 is unlikely: season Over 3.5 is 17% for El Paso and 0% for Phoenix, and the total xG 2.72 implies a low chance — I assign 15% to Over 3.5 and 85% to Under. The strongest signal is Over 1.5, so I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso led at half-time in 3 of their home matches so far (50%), while Phoenix led only once (17%); hosts average 0.67 goals in the first half versus 0.17 for visitors. Additionally, El Paso has the higher xG (1.78 vs 1.17) and attempts significantly more shots and shots on target (15.0 and 6.17 versus 9.5 and 3.0), translating into better goalscoring opportunities. Phoenix concedes on average 1.0 goals by the break and has a lower points-per-game average (1.17 versus El Paso’s 1.5), so they are less likely to engineer a turnaround after half-time. Although El Paso records many draws this season (50% draws), the combination of first-half statistical advantage and higher xG favors a scenario where the hosts lead at the break and win the match (1/1). For that reason the 1/1 scenario receives the highest probability at 30%, with meaningful support for 1/X (15%) and X/X (12%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Phoenix Rising is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.4 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.25 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
Phoenix Rising is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.91 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.17 goals / match - Phoenix Rising
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
Phoenix Rising scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - Phoenix Rising
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.25 pts / match - Phoenix Rising
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Phoenix Rising - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Paso Locomotive
Phoenix Rising
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | Phoenix Rising | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.91 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): El Paso Locomotive 0 - 3 - 3 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 1:1 Phoenix Rising. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 0, Phoenix Rising won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive score 2.00 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 82% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 42% of Phoenix Rising's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.