El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio: match statistics
El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
El Paso Locomotive played San Antonio in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. San Antonio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
El Paso Locomotive scores 2.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. San Antonio scores 0.71 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: El Paso Locomotive 60%, San Antonio 14%. Over 2.5: El Paso Locomotive 100%, San Antonio 14%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.34. El Paso Locomotive: 11.4 shots per match, San Antonio: 12.7.
Match halves
El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.00. San Antonio: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
El Paso Locomotive: 16-30 (4 goals). San Antonio: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
El Paso Locomotive holds a clear advantage in attack and form: at home they average 12.5 shots per game, 6 on target, and a 20% conversion rate translating to an average of 2.5 goals per game; in their last 5 matches the hosts have scored 14 goals and won 4 of 5, yielding 2.4 points per game. San Antonio struggle to finish chances away from home — averaging 10.33 shots and only 1.67 on target, with an average xG of 1.00, but actually registering 0 goals per game and 100% FTS (no goals scored on the road). Defensively the hosts concede 2.0 goals per home game and have no clean sheets (CS% 0), however San Antonio also have limited goal output away (0 goals on average and a -2 goal difference on the road), so El Paso’s high efficiency (2.5 vs 0) should prevail. xG comparison shows El Paso generate higher-quality chances: home xG 1.42 versus 1.00 for San Antonio away, while xG conceded 1.07 suggests the hosts create more valuable opportunities than the visitors. Considering El Paso’s 4 wins in the last 5, 14 recent goals and San Antonio’s lack of away goals, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Match data strongly supports No BTTS: San Antonio has failed to score all season (100% matches without a goal, goals per game 0.0), so opponents’ realistic scoring potential is minimal. El Paso at home kept a clean sheet in 75% of matches and concedes only 0.25 goals per game on average, further reducing the likelihood of Goal/Goal. The difference in chance creation is clear — El Paso averages 14.5 shots and 4.25 on target per game with xG 1.6, while San Antonio records 10.33 shots, 1.67 on target, season xG 1.0 and a conversion rate of 0.0%, indicating finishing issues. In the last 5 matches El Paso scored 14 goals (2.8 avg) and had BTTS in 60% of games, but San Antonio scored only 2 goals in their last five (0.4 avg) and their last 5 matches contained no BTTS, which reinforces the No scenario. Considering these numbers and the league BTTS baseline of 50%, I assess No BTTS as more likely (80% vs 20%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
El Paso averages 1.25 goals per game season-to-date with xG 1.60, 14.5 shots and 4.25 on target; in the last 5 matches they averaged 2.8 goals (14 goals in 5 matches) and had 100% of matches with over 2.5 goals. San Antonio shows season xG 1.00 but only 0.0 average goals this season and 1.67 shots on target per game; in their last 5 matches their xG is 1.42 with an average of 0.4 goals scored (2 goals in 5 matches), indicating poor finishing. Both teams record many clean sheets (El Paso 75%, San Antonio 67%), which limits extremely high scores, but El Paso’s creative edge (14.5 vs 10.33 shots, xG 1.60 vs 1.00) and form increase the likelihood of more than 2 goals. I therefore forecast roughly 1.75 goals for the home side and 0.85 for the away side, total ~2.60 goals; this implies a very high probability for Over 1.5 (~92%) and clear support for Over 2.5 (~72%), while Over 3.5 is unlikely (~31%). Recommendation: back Over 2.5 as the best bet based on shot volume, xG and El Paso’s recent form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso are the clear favorites: seasonally they score on average 1.25 goals per match versus 0.0 for San Antonio and have a 75% win rate, with an xG of 1.6 compared to 1.0 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 80% of cases (4 of 5) and averaged 1.6 goals by half-time versus 0.2 for their opponents, which strongly supports El Paso leading after 45 minutes. At half-time El Paso have kept 100% clean sheets (seasonCSPercentageHT_home = 100%), while San Antonio concedes on average 0.67 goals by the break, so the visitors’ chances of leading before half-time are minimal. In the second half the hosts also apply pressure — second-half goal averages are 1.0 and 75% of matches with at least one goal after the break (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 75%), whereas San Antonio register 0.0 goals after half-time and a shot conversion rate of 0.0%. Therefore I assign a 64% probability to the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal; 1/X is rated at 12%, 1/2 at 4%, and visitor-leading variants collectively at 20% (2/2 12%, 2/X 6%, 2/1 2%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| El Paso Locomotive | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.6 pts / match - San Antonio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 294% better for: goals scored per match.
2.8 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 0.71 goals / match - San Antonio
San Antonio is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive · 0.43 goals / match - San Antonio
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while San Antonio keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
San Antonio scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
Over / Under - San Antonio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.6 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive · 1.43 pts / match - San Antonio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Antonio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
El Paso Locomotive
San Antonio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| El Paso Locomotive | Liga | San Antonio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.80 | 2.54 | ▼ 1.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 14% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 - 2 San Antonio. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
The USL Championship match finished El Paso Locomotive 2:3 San Antonio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches El Paso Locomotive won 1, San Antonio won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
El Paso Locomotive score 2.80 goals per game on average and San Antonio 0.71. The USL Championship average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of El Paso Locomotive's matches and 14% of San Antonio's.
What form are El Paso Locomotive and San Antonio in?
Over the last 5 games El Paso Locomotive have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and San Antonio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio?
The statistical background for El Paso Locomotive vs San Antonio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.