Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik: match statistics
Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elana Toruń played Kotwica Kórnik in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Elana Toruń: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kotwica Kórnik: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elana Toruń scores 1.42 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Kotwica Kórnik scores 1.58 and concedes 2.75. League average: 3.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elana Toruń 83%, Kotwica Kórnik 67%. Over 2.5: Elana Toruń 75%, Kotwica Kórnik 67%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Elana Toruń has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.46. Elana Toruń: 13.8 shots per match, Kotwica Kórnik: 9.3.
Match halves
Elana Toruń: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.83. Kotwica Kórnik: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Elana Toruń: 76-90+ (7 goals). Kotwica Kórnik: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.61 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elana Toruń are favourites: they have picked up 8 points in their last five matches, compared with Kotwica Kórnik’s 4. The biggest difference is in defence — the hosts have conceded 5 goals over that period, while the visitors have let in 18; away from home, Kotwica concede an average of 3.6 goals per match. Elana score an average of 1.43 goals at home, with an xG of 1.64, while Kotwica’s away xG is 1.28 and they average 1 goal scored. The visitors have lost 80% of their away matches and failed to score in 60% of them, further strengthening the case for a home win. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Elana have shared the points in 43% of their home matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Elana have recorded BTTS in 86% of their matches, compared with 40% for Kotwica, so the full-season data points in mixed directions. However, the last 5 matches support BTTS - Yes: both teams scored in 60% of Elana’s matches and 80% of Kotwica’s. Elana average 2.0 goals and face an opponent conceding 3.6 goals per match, making a home goal seem likely. Kotwica have failed to score in 60% of their matches, but Elana have yet to keep a clean sheet and concede an average of 2.14 goals. The risk of the visitors failing to score remains significant, but their average xG of 1.28 and Elana’s weaker defence tip the prediction towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Elana average 2.0 goals scored per match, while Kotwica concede 3.6, giving the hosts a clear chance to score several goals. The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of the matches considered and conceded 18 goals in their last 5 games. Although Kotwica failed to score in 60% of their matches, Elana concede an average of 2.14 goals, so an away goal also remains a realistic possibility. At least 2 goals were scored in 86% of Elana’s matches and 80% of Kotwica’s; these consistent indicators make Over 1.5 the strongest pick. The 3.60-goal forecast also supports higher lines, but Over 1.5 carries less risk given the visitors’ weaker scoring record.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is for Elana to lead at the break and win after 90 minutes. The hosts were ahead at half-time in 43% of their matches, while Kotwica were trailing at that stage in 60%; Elana averaged 1.14 goals in the first half, and the visitors conceded 1.4. The difference in scoring efficiency over the full match supports Elana holding on to their advantage: they average 2.0 goals, while Kotwica concede 3.6. In their last five matches, the visitors also conceded an average of 3.6 goals, including 2.2 after half-time, reducing their chances of a turnaround. One risk for the 1/1 pick is the hosts’ defence, as they concede an average of 2.14 goals per match across the season. A draw at half-time followed by an Elana win therefore remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elana Toruń | Kotwica Kórnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elana Toruń is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Elana Toruń · 0.8 pts / match - Kotwica Kórnik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kotwica Kórnik is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Elana Toruń · 1.58 goals / match - Kotwica Kórnik
Elana Toruń is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Elana Toruń · 2.75 goals / match - Kotwica Kórnik
Elana Toruń scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Kotwica Kórnik keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
Kotwica Kórnik scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Elana Toruń keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elana Toruń
Over / Under - Kotwica Kórnik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elana Toruń is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Elana Toruń · 1.08 pts / match - Kotwica Kórnik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elana Toruń - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kotwica Kórnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elana Toruń
Kotwica Kórnik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Elana Toruń | Liga | Kotwica Kórnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.25 | 3.61 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 17% | 17% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Elana Toruń 3:1 Kotwica Kórnik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik?
Elana Toruń score 1.42 goals per game on average and Kotwica Kórnik 1.58. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Elana Toruń's matches and 67% of Kotwica Kórnik's.
What form are Elana Toruń and Kotwica Kórnik in?
Over the last 5 games Elana Toruń have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kotwica Kórnik 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elana Toruń vs Kotwica Kórnik?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.