Elana Toruń vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: match statistics
Elana Toruń vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elana Toruń played Zawisza Bydgoszcz in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Elana Toruń: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Zawisza Bydgoszcz: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elana Toruń scores 1.62 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Zawisza Bydgoszcz scores 2.10 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elana Toruń 59%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 41%. Over 2.5: Elana Toruń 55%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Zawisza Bydgoszcz has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.57. Elana Toruń: 10.6 shots per match, Zawisza Bydgoszcz: 9.7.
Match halves
Elana Toruń: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.83. Zawisza Bydgoszcz: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Elana Toruń: 76-90+ (12 goals). Zawisza Bydgoszcz: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is the favorite in this matchup based on superior season metrics — 20 wins versus Elana's 14 and 61 goals scored compared to 47. The gap widens in recent form: Zawisza have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per game in this run, while Elana have only 5 goals and 0.4 PPG. Defensively the visitors also look stronger — 21 goals conceded in the season vs 36 for the hosts, an average of 1.00 goals conceded away compared to 1.31 conceded by Elana at home, and 43% clean sheets vs 23%. Offensively xG figures are similar (xG 1.74 for Zawisza away vs xG 1.73 for Elana at home), as is conversion (12% vs 11%), which suggests defense stability and current form will be decisive. Considering 20 vs 14 wins this season, better last-5 record (3 wins vs 0) and a lower goals-conceded profile, I tip the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Elana’s home profile: on average 0.47 goals conceded per game this season, 60% clean sheets and a season BTTS of 33%, which strongly indicates the opponent often fails to score. Zawisza, however, has the offensive edge — 1.79 goals per game this season, 61 goals scored this season and 2.2 goals average in the last 5 matches, with a season BTTS rate of 50%. xG metrics show both teams create chances (Elana xG 1.99 at home vs Zawisza xG 1.74), but Elana’s defensive superiority (0.47 conceded vs 1.0 average for Zawisza) remains significant. Note the short-term risk: in Elana’s last 5 matches BTTS was 80% (4 of 5), which raises the short-term probability of both teams scoring. Weighing all numbers, I favor the 'No' scenario and assess BTTS 'No' at 65% and 'Yes' at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Elana has xG_for 1.99, Zawisza 1.74, with xG_against 1.05 (Elana) and 1.10 (Zawisza), yielding estimated 1.55 goals for Elana and 1.39 for Zawisza, a total of 2.94 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.94 gives probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈79%, Over 2.5 ≈56% and Over 3.5 ≈34%. Seasonal indicators confirm the trend: Elana at home scores on average 2.4 goals and records Over 1.5 in 80% of matches while keeping 60% clean sheets; Zawisza averages 1.79 goals, Over 1.5 in 57% and BTTS in 50% of games. Elana averages 17.79 shots (6.93 on target) with a 12% conversion, and the league average goals is 2.96, which together with the combined xG 2.94 supports multiple goals in the match. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: back over at the 1.5 line); Over 2.5 has a moderate chance (~56%), while Over 3.5 (~34%) is too risky.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Elana led at the break in 10 of their 13 home matches to date (77%) and has won 80% of matches as the home side, so the scenario of leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (1/1) is the strongest. At Half-Time Elana scores on average 1.46 goals and concedes only 0.15, while Zawisza averages 1.0 goals in the first half and concedes 0.5, which gives Elana a clear advantage in the first 45 minutes. Additionally, Elana posts an xG of 1.99 versus Zawisza’s 1.74 and 6.93 shots on target versus 5.0, and 85% of Elana’s home matches feature a clean sheet at the break, so I assign the highest probability to 1/1. However, Elana has a 0% home win rate in their last five matches, while Zawisza has won 60% of their last five, so I include moderate chances for a draw or a turnaround (1/X and X/1) as protection against current form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elana Toruń | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Elana Toruń · 2.4 pts / match - Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Elana Toruń · 2.1 goals / match - Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Elana Toruń · 0.72 goals / match - Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Elana Toruń scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Zawisza Bydgoszcz keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).
Zawisza Bydgoszcz scores in 86% of matches (25 of 29 matches), while Elana Toruń keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elana Toruń
Over / Under - Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Elana Toruń · 2.07 pts / match - Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elana Toruń - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elana Toruń
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Elana Toruń | Liga | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 73% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Zawisza BydgoszczGoalMaciej Kona
- Zawisza BydgoszczGoalSebastian Rak
- Zawisza BydgoszczGoalSebastian Golak
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Elana Toruń 0 - 1 - 0 Zawisza Bydgoszcz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elana Toruń vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Elana Toruń 0:3 Zawisza Bydgoszcz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Elana Toruń vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Elana Toruń score 1.62 goals per game on average and Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2.10. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Elana Toruń's matches and 41% of Zawisza Bydgoszcz's.
What form are Elana Toruń and Zawisza Bydgoszcz in?
Over the last 5 games Elana Toruń have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elana Toruń vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.