Elgin City vs Annan Athletic: match statistics
Elgin City vs Annan Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City played Annan Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Elgin City: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Annan Athletic: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Annan Athletic scores 1.31 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 59%, Annan Athletic 59%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 56%, Annan Athletic 56%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.18. Elgin City: 9.6 shots per match, Annan Athletic: 8.3.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.94. Annan Athletic: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 76-90+ (11 goals). Annan Athletic: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an Elgin City win. Elgin have a significant home attacking edge: 1.75 goals per home game versus just 0.75 goals for Annan Athletic on the road, and in the last 5 matches Elgin have scored 9 and conceded 3 while Annan have scored 8 and conceded 5. The hosts register more shots (8.81 vs 7.25) and more shots on target (4.44 vs 3.06), with a home shot conversion rate of 20% versus 10% for Annan, reflecting twice the finishing efficiency. Additionally, Elgin fail to score in only 6% of home matches, whereas Annan are goalless in 50% of away games; the hosts also have 44% clean sheets at home vs 19% for the visitors. Average xG 1.22 vs 1.04 and xG against 1.07 vs 1.26 indicate better quality of created chances and a more stable defense. Considering these figures and the home win rate of 50% versus the visitors’ 13% away win rate, I estimate probabilities of roughly 68% for Elgin, 17% for a draw and 15% for Annan.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Elgin has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75%, while Annan’s away BTTS is 44% and the league overall records 64% BTTS, which strongly supports a Goal/Goal scenario. The hosts average 1.88 goals at home with xG 1.32 and register 9.31 shots (4.38 on target), whereas Annan has xG 1.04, averages 0.75 goals away and produces 7.25 shots (3.06 on target), so both sides create genuine scoring opportunities. Counterpoints are Elgin’s improved defense in the last 5 matches — only 3 goals conceded (0.6 avg) and BTTS in 40% of those games — and Annan’s season away BTTS of only 44%, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Balancing the hosts’ high seasonal BTTS (75%) and the league’s elevated BTTS level (64%) with Elgin’s recent defensive form, I assess BTTS at 68% for Yes and 32% for No; therefore I recommend a BTTS = Yes bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I forecast total expected goals at 2.38 (1.29 for Elgin, 1.09 for Annan), calculated from xG: Elgin offensive xG 1.32 vs Annan conceded xG 1.26 gives 1.29 for the home side, and Annan offensive xG 1.04 vs Elgin conceded xG 1.13 gives 1.09 for the away side. Season averages confirm Elgin’s attacking profile — they score 1.88 goals on average with 9.31 shots and 4.38 shots on target, converting at 20% versus Annan’s 10%, which increases the likelihood of early goals. Over stats show Elgin have 63% of matches Over 2.5 goals, Annan 50%, with the league average at 56% Over 2.5; based on this I assign Over 2.5 at approximately 58%, while Over 1.5 is clearly stronger (seasonally 88% Elgin and 63% Annan) — therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 84%. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the teams combined averaged 3.4 goals (Elgin 1.8 + Annan 1.6), and the percentage of matches with Both Teams to Score is 75% for Elgin and 44% for Annan, which reinforces the Over 1.5 signal. The best betting selection appears to be Over 1.5 given the home side’s attacking edge, predicted xG = 2.38 and clear seasonal and recent goal form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Elgin are clear favorites on the numbers: they average 1.88 goals per game versus Annan’s 0.75, and score 1.0 goals by half-time compared to the visitors’ 0.25 — Elgin led at the break in 7 matches (44%), Annan in only 2 (13%). Additionally, the home side have a higher xG (1.32 vs 1.04), more shots on target (4.38 vs 3.06) and a twice-higher conversion rate (20% vs 10%), which increases the likelihood of scoring already in the first half. Elgin have scored 11 goals in the 0–15 minute interval this season while Annan have none in that period, and the hosts finish matches goalless in only 6% of games versus 50% for the visitors — this reduces the risk of a complete turnaround. On this basis the most likely scenario is Elgin leading at half-time and ultimately winning the match (1/1), so this outcome carries the highest weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Annan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elgin City is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.8 pts / match - Annan Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.31 goals / match - Annan Athletic
Elgin City is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.63 goals / match - Annan Athletic
Elgin City scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
Annan Athletic scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Annan Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Annan Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Annan Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Annan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.94 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 64% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Elgin City 1 - 0 - 2 Annan Athletic. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 0:3 Annan Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Annan Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Annan Athletic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?
Elgin City score 1.50 goals per game on average and Annan Athletic 1.31. The League Two average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Elgin City's matches and 59% of Annan Athletic's.
What form are Elgin City and Annan Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Annan Athletic 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Annan Athletic?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Annan Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.