Elgin City vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Elgin City demonstrate solid home form with a 46% home win rate and failing to score in only 8% of their matches, making them a formidable opponent at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Dumbarton concede an average of 2 goals in away fixtures, failing to keep a single clean sheet (0% CS%). Elgin's home goal difference is +2, while Dumbarton's away goal difference is -9, highlighting the visitors' struggles on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Elgin: 1.8 PPG, Dumbarton: 1.6 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' defensive frailties strongly advocate for an Elgin City victory. Taking all factors into account, I predict a home win, though Dumbarton could spring a surprise, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
Elgin City vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City played Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Elgin City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Dumbarton: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 1.44 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.39 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 63%, Dumbarton 71%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 59%, Dumbarton 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.04. Elgin City: 9.8 shots per match, Dumbarton: 7.2.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.96. Dumbarton: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 76-90+ (10 goals). Dumbarton: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elgin City demonstrate solid home form with a 46% home win rate and failing to score in only 8% of their matches, making them a formidable opponent at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.77 goals per home game, whereas Dumbarton concede an average of 2 goals in away fixtures, failing to keep a single clean sheet (0% CS%). Elgin's home goal difference is +2, while Dumbarton's away goal difference is -9, highlighting the visitors' struggles on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Elgin: 1.8 PPG, Dumbarton: 1.6 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home statistics and the visitors' defensive frailties strongly advocate for an Elgin City victory. Taking all factors into account, I predict a home win, though Dumbarton could spring a surprise, which justifies a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elgin City is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.6 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.99 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Elgin City 1 - 2 - 0 Dumbarton. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Dumbarton?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Dumbarton won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
Elgin City score 1.44 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.39. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Elgin City's matches and 71% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Elgin City and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Dumbarton?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.