Scotland - League TwoBorough BriggsData current as of 13 August 2026

Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Elgin City play Kelty Hearts in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs.

Current form

Elgin City: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Elgin City scores 3.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Elgin City 50%, Kelty Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 50%, Kelty Hearts 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.07 vs 0.94. Elgin City: 7.0 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 6.0.

Match halves

Elgin City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Elgin City: 16-30 (3 goals). Kelty Hearts: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.64)
(3.40)
(2.29)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Elgin CityKelty Hearts
3Goals scored / match1.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0.5Goals conceded / match1.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
29%Average possession37%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
5Shots on target / match4
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match6
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
5Shots on target4
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
42.9%Shot conversion25%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
29%Possession37%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
1.07xG for0.94
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0.98xG against1.04
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

Shooting quality

Elgin City: Counter-attackingKelty Hearts: Counter-attacking
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
Accuracy (shots on target)71%67%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.600.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elgin City is 33% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.5 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

Elgin City
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Kelty Hearts
LW
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

3 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.5 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

Elgin City is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.5 goals / match - Kelty Hearts

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

Kelty Hearts scoring profile: mixed

Kelty Hearts scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

6Goals scored (season)3
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
1Goals conceded (season)3
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
3.5Average goals in match3
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%2 goals50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%3 goals50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%4 goals0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%2 goals50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%3 goals0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%4 goals0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%Scored in both halves50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%BTTS - last 550%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elgin City is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.5 pts / match - Kelty Hearts

Elgin City - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Kelty Hearts - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
2Goals scored (1st half)1
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
2.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0%No goal before half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
1Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts
50%No goal after half-time50%
Elgin CityKelty Hearts

Elgin City - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
4
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kelty Hearts - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.00
Goals scored / match2.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match2.51.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals100%50%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 4
Kelty Hearts - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.500.50
Goals scored / match1.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.51.0
Average goals in match1.51.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 50% leading - 0% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Kelty Hearts
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.25
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
200%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
31%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Kelty Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.56
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Elgin CityLigaKelty Hearts
Average goals in match 3.503.10 3.00
Both teams scored 50%50% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%50% 50%
Clean sheets 50%25% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 50%70% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-7%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Elgin City and Kelty Hearts play?

Elgin City face Kelty Hearts on 15 August 2026 in League Two at Borough Briggs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?

Elgin City score 3.00 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 1.50. The League Two average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Elgin City's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.

What form are Elgin City and Kelty Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?

The statistical background for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.