Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City played Kelty Hearts in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 15 August 2026. Venue: Borough Briggs. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Elgin City: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 3.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 50%, Kelty Hearts 50%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 50%, Kelty Hearts 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.07 vs 0.94. Elgin City: 7.0 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 6.0.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 16-30 (3 goals). Kelty Hearts: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elgin City top the home table, while Kelty Hearts lost their only away match so far without scoring. The hosts average 1 goal and create chances worth 0.78 xG at home, whereas the visitors manage just 0.24 xG away from home and average only 1 shot per match. Elgin are in poor recent form, with three defeats in their last five games and 10 goals conceded, but Kelty have also conceded 10 goals in five matches during the same period. The hosts’ advantage is mainly based on their significantly greater attacking potential and the fact that Kelty have failed to score in 100% of their away matches. However, the low xG figures recorded by both teams suggest a balanced, likely low-scoring contest in which a draw remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS comes from Kelty Hearts’ very poor current attacking form: the team has failed to score, averages just 0.24 xG, and records 1 shot on target per match. In 100% of their away matches so far, Kelty Hearts have failed to find the net, while their season BTTS rate stands at 0%, compared with Elgin City averaging 3.0 goals at home. The last five matches present a slightly more balanced picture, as both teams have recorded BTTS in 40% of their games, while Kelty have averaged 1.2 goals. Although Elgin City have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last five outings, Kelty Hearts’ low xG of 0.95 and their previous attacking struggles make a BTTS - No outcome more likely, meaning that at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Elgin City averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Kelty Hearts recorded identical defensive figures, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Both teams had at least three goals in 60% of their matches, but their average xG over the last five appearances is notably lower: 1.00 for the home side and 0.95 for the visitors. Elgin City creates chances worth an average of 1.00 xG, while Kelty Hearts allows opponents 1.56 xG, supporting a projection of around 1.4 goals for the hosts but not indicating a very high-scoring game. The poor defensive form of both sides increases the risk of a third goal; however, the projected total of 2.55 goals gives a clear edge to Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Elgin City have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 in their home match so far, while Kelty Hearts have failed to score away from home and have conceded 1 goal. The home side’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.63 compared with just 0.24 for the visitors, while shots on target are 7 to 1. In the first halves, Elgin were leading in 100% of the available data, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding none, whereas Kelty were trailing at the break in 100% of cases, averaging 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. However, caution is warranted given the teams’ form over their last five matches, with Elgin winning only 20% and Kelty 40%, which is why scenarios involving a turnaround by the visitors also constitute a significant part of the forecast. Nevertheless, the hosts’ attacking advantage from the opening whistle makes Elgin leading at the break and securing victory at the final whistle the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 71% | 67% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.60 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elgin City is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.5 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.5 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Elgin City is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.5 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Elgin City scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Kelty Hearts scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.5 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.10 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 4:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
Elgin City score 3.00 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 1.50. The League Two average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Elgin City's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Elgin City and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.