Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely tight, which suggests a draw. Elgin City occupies 10th place in the table and has poor home form – in their last 5 home matches they haven't secured a single victory, conceding as many as 15 goals. Stirling Albion in 8th place shows better away performance with a 55% win rate in away matches this season; however, their recent form (0.8 PPG) is also unsatisfactory. A key factor is goal difference – both teams score an average of 1.73 goals per match, but Elgin concedes more at home (1.91) than Stirling does away (1.64). Considering the hosts' poor disposition and the visitors' average form, the most probable outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Stirling's slight advantage in away statistics makes them an equally realistic candidate for victory.
Elgin City vs Stirling Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elgin City played Stirling Albion in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Elgin City: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Stirling Albion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elgin City scores 1.45 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Stirling Albion scores 1.30 and concedes 1.74. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elgin City 68%, Stirling Albion 65%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 55%, Stirling Albion 61%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.17. Elgin City: 10.0 shots per match, Stirling Albion: 8.5.
Match halves
Elgin City: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.05. Stirling Albion: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Elgin City: 76-90+ (9 goals). Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely tight, which suggests a draw. Elgin City occupies 10th place in the table and has poor home form – in their last 5 home matches they haven't secured a single victory, conceding as many as 15 goals. Stirling Albion in 8th place shows better away performance with a 55% win rate in away matches this season; however, their recent form (0.8 PPG) is also unsatisfactory. A key factor is goal difference – both teams score an average of 1.73 goals per match, but Elgin concedes more at home (1.91) than Stirling does away (1.64). Considering the hosts' poor disposition and the visitors' average form, the most probable outcome appears to be a share of the points, although Stirling's slight advantage in away statistics makes them an equally realistic candidate for victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elgin City | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stirling Albion is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.4 pts / match - Stirling Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.3 goals / match - Stirling Albion
Elgin City scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Stirling Albion scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elgin City
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elgin City is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Elgin City · 0.91 pts / match - Stirling Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elgin City
Stirling Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Elgin City | Liga | Stirling Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 3.01 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | • 68% | 67% | ▼ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 19% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Elgin City 1 - 1 - 0 Stirling Albion. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:0 Stirling Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Elgin City and Stirling Albion?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Elgin City won 1, Stirling Albion won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
Elgin City score 1.45 goals per game on average and Stirling Albion 1.30. The League Two average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Elgin City's matches and 65% of Stirling Albion's.
What form are Elgin City and Stirling Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Stirling Albion 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion?
The statistical background for Elgin City vs Stirling Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.