Elgin City vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Elgin City played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Elgin City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Stranraer: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Elgin City scores 1.47 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.27 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Elgin City 60%, Stranraer 60%. Over 2.5: Elgin City 47%, Stranraer 53%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.16. Elgin City: 10.5 shots per match, Stranraer: 8.6.

Match halves

Elgin City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.13. Stranraer: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.47.

Goals by minute

Elgin City: 61-75 (7 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
Elgin CityStranraer
11Shots8
Elgin CityStranraer
6Shots on target4
Elgin CityStranraer
1.43xG1.04
Elgin CityStranraer
8Corners7
Elgin CityStranraer
44Dangerous attacks35
Elgin CityStranraer
10Fouls5
Elgin CityStranraer
5Cards2
Elgin CityStranraer

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Elgin CityStranraer
1.47Goals scored / match1.27
Elgin CityStranraer
1.33Goals conceded / match1.33
Elgin CityStranraer
52%Average possession48%
Elgin CityStranraer
5Shots on target / match4.2
Elgin CityStranraer

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.47Shots per match8.6
Elgin CityStranraer
5Shots on target4.2
Elgin CityStranraer
14%Shot conversion14.7%
Elgin CityStranraer
52%Possession48%
Elgin CityStranraer
1.44xG for1.16
Elgin CityStranraer
1.05xG against1.38
Elgin CityStranraer

Shooting quality

Elgin City: Efficient finishingStranraer: Efficient finishing
Elgin CityStranraer
Accuracy (shots on target)48%49%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elgin City is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Elgin City · 2 pts / match - Stranraer

Elgin City
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Stranraer
WDLWW
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-7
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Elgin City · 1.27 goals / match - Stranraer

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

Stranraer scoring profile: strong

Stranraer scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

22Goals scored (season)19
Elgin CityStranraer
20Goals conceded (season)20
Elgin CityStranraer
2.8Average goals in match2.6
Elgin CityStranraer
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Elgin CityStranraer
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
Elgin CityStranraer

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal67%
Elgin CityStranraer
53%2 goals33%
Elgin CityStranraer
13%3 goals20%
Elgin CityStranraer
0%4 goals7%
Elgin CityStranraer

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal87%
Elgin CityStranraer
27%2 goals33%
Elgin CityStranraer
27%3 goals13%
Elgin CityStranraer
7%4 goals0%
Elgin CityStranraer

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time20%
Elgin CityStranraer
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Elgin CityStranraer
27%Scored in both halves20%
Elgin CityStranraer

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Elgin CityStranraer
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Elgin CityStranraer
60%BTTS - last 560%
Elgin CityStranraer

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Elgin CityStranraer
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Elgin CityStranraer
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Elgin CityStranraer

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Elgin CityStranraer
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Elgin CityStranraer
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Elgin CityStranraer

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stranraer is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Elgin City · 1.53 pts / match - Stranraer

Elgin City - half-time state
27% leading40% draw33% trailing
Stranraer - half-time state
33% leading53% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.53
Elgin CityStranraer
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Elgin CityStranraer
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Elgin CityStranraer
0.93Average goals (1st half)1.13
Elgin CityStranraer
60%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Elgin CityStranraer
67%No goal before half-time60%
Elgin CityStranraer

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)0.67
Elgin CityStranraer
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.47
Elgin CityStranraer
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Elgin CityStranraer
1.87Average goals (2nd half)1.47
Elgin CityStranraer
53%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Elgin CityStranraer
27%No goal after half-time53%
Elgin CityStranraer

Elgin City - second-half results

40% W33% R27% P
18
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stranraer - second-half results

7% W47% R47% P
23
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.61.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-1+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+7-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
5
1
46-60
7
5
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
6
4
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Elgin CityLigaStranraer
Average goals in match 2.802.96 2.60
Both teams scored 60%65% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%57% 53%
Clean sheets 27%21% 13%
Goal before half-time 67%76% 53%
Goal after half-time 87%76% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StranraerYellow cardLewis Reid
  2. StranraerGoalDom PlankAssist: Daniel McManus
  3. Elgin CityGoalJack MurrayAssist: Jack Maciver
  4. Elgin CityYellow cardJack Maciver
  5. Elgin CityRed cardRussell Dingwall
  6. StranraerSubstitutionOn: Matthew GilliesOff: Aaron Quigg
  7. StranraerYellow cardJordan Stuart
  8. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Brian CameronOff: Alasdair Spalding
  9. Elgin CitySubstitutionOn: Owen CairnsOff: Lyall-Robert Booth
  10. Elgin CityYellow cardTom Ritchie
  11. StranraerSubstitutionOn: Sean DochertyOff: James Dolan
  12. Elgin CityYellow cardBrian Cameron
  13. StranraerGoalScot Rough

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Elgin City 0 - 1 - 0 Stranraer. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Stranraer FC
1 : 1
Elgin City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Elgin City vs Stranraer?

The League Two match finished Elgin City 1:2 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Elgin City score 1.47 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.27. The League Two average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Elgin City's matches and 60% of Stranraer's.

What form are Elgin City and Stranraer in?

Over the last 5 games Elgin City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Stranraer 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elgin City vs Stranraer?

The statistical background for Elgin City vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.