Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: match statistics

Bayer Leverkusen enter the match as league runners-up, while Elversberg sit 7th, indicating the visitors’ superior quality. Both teams have scored 12 goals in their last five matches, but Leverkusen won 4 of them and averaged 2.4 points per game, whereas Elversberg recorded 3 wins and averaged 2.0 points. The visitors have also shown greater defensive stability, conceding 4 goals during this period compared with 6 for the hosts. Elversberg can pose a threat on the back of their run of 12 goals scored, but Leverkusen’s advantage in results, league position and goals conceded makes an away win the preferred outcome.

The signal for both teams to score is based primarily on their recent form: Elversberg recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen did so in 3 of 5. Both teams scored 12 goals during this period, averaging 2.4 per match each, which significantly increases the likelihood of both sides finding the net. Elversberg averaged 1.67 xG, while Leverkusen posted 1.47 xG, meaning both attacks regularly created scoring chances. However, the hosts conceded 1.2 goals per match in their last five appearances, which supports the prospect of an away goal, although Leverkusen’s more solid defence, conceding an average of 0.8 goals, limits confidence in the pick. Nevertheless, the combination of the high attacking efficiency of both sides and BTTS rates of 80% and 60% gives the edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Both teams have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, producing a very high average of 2.4 goals scored per game. Elversberg conceded an average of 1.2 goals during this period, while Bayer Leverkusen conceded 0.8, meaning the attacking potential of both sides clearly outweighs their recent defensive stability. Elversberg’s matches ended with at least three goals in 80% of their last five games, compared with 100% for Leverkusen. In addition, the average xG stands at 1.67 for the hosts and 1.47 for the visitors, supporting a projection of around 3.15 goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as even with less clinical finishing, the data from both teams clearly points to at least two goals.

Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 points per game, while Elversberg have recorded 3 wins and averaged 2.0 points. The visitors are slightly more effective before the break, scoring an average of 1.0 goals compared with Elversberg’s 0.8, and both teams held a lead at half-time in 40% of their recent matches. Leverkusen’s advantage is more pronounced after the break: they won the second half in 80% of cases and conceded just 0.2 goals per game during that period, compared with the hosts’ 0.6. Elversberg are nevertheless an attacking threat, averaging 1.6 goals after half-time, which makes a draw at the break followed by an away win a significant alternative. The strongest scenario, however, is Bayer taking the lead before half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle, supported by their superior form and considerably tighter defensive play in the second half.