Elversberg vs Mainz 05: match statistics
Elversberg vs Mainz 05: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Elversberg played Mainz 05 in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Elversberg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mainz 05: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Elversberg scores 1.71 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Mainz 05 scores 2.29 and concedes 1.86. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Elversberg 57%, Mainz 05 57%. Over 2.5: Elversberg 71%, Mainz 05 71%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Mainz 05 has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.19. Elversberg: 10.3 shots per match, Mainz 05: 17.7.
Match halves
Elversberg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. Mainz 05: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Elversberg: 0-15 (4 goals). Mainz 05: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mainz 05 have won all 3 of their away matches so far, while Elversberg have won 2 of their 3 home games, so the visitors are not overwhelming favourites. However, Mainz average 3.33 goals and 7.33 shots on target per match away from home, while the hosts concede an average of 2.33 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The difference in the quality of chances created and conceded is reflected in the xG figures: Mainz record 1.70 away from home and allow opponents 1.32, while Elversberg post figures of 1.29 and 2.65 respectively at home. In their last 5 league rounds, the visitors scored 13 goals and won 3 times, while the hosts scored 7 and claimed 2 victories. Elversberg could pose a threat with their home scoring record, averaging 2.67 goals, but their defensive record and Mainz's away run point towards a win for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 75% of Elversberg's matches, but in only 33% of Mainz's games, so the season-long signal is inconclusive. Elversberg to score is supported by an average xG of 2,19 and the fact that Mainz conceded an average of 2,0 goals over their last 5 matches. Meanwhile, Mainz scored an average of 3,33 goals away from home, while Elversberg conceded 2,5 at home, significantly increasing the likelihood of an away goal. Caution is advised, as Mainz kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches; however, their recent defensive results and Elversberg's attacking potential give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as at least two goals were scored in 75% of Elversberg’s matches and 67% of Mainz’s matches. Elversberg concede an average of 2.5 goals, while Mainz score 3.33 goals per match, particularly boosting the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts could also get on the scoresheet: their average xG is 2.19, although Mainz keep a clean sheet in 67% of their matches. In their last five games, both teams conceded an average of 2.0 goals, and the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in 60% and 80% of those matches, respectively. The 3.7-goal prediction also points to higher goal lines, but Over 1.5 remains the most likely pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mainz have led at the break and gone on to win in all three of their matches so far, while Elversberg have neither led at half-time nor won any of their four games. The visitors average 1.67 goals scored before the break, while the hosts concede 1.5 in that period, supporting the case for Mainz to lead at half-time. The visitors’ advantage over the full match is backed by an average of 3.33 goals scored, compared with Elversberg’s 2.5 goals conceded. Mainz also average 1.67 goals after the break, compared with the hosts’ 0.75, giving them a basis to maintain their lead. The hosts do post a higher average xG, 2.19 versus 1.70, and the sample covers only three matches for the visitors and four for the hosts, so a half-time draw followed by a Mainz win remains a notable alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Elversberg | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mainz 05 is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Elversberg · 1.2 pts / match - Mainz 05
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Elversberg · 2.29 goals / match - Mainz 05
Mainz 05 is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Elversberg · 1.86 goals / match - Mainz 05
Elversberg scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Mainz 05 scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Elversberg keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Elversberg
Over / Under - Mainz 05
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Elversberg · 1.57 pts / match - Mainz 05
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Elversberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Elversberg
Mainz 05
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Elversberg | Liga | Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.56 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 87% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
The Bundesliga match finished Elversberg 4:1 Mainz 05. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
Elversberg score 1.71 goals per game on average and Mainz 05 2.29. The Bundesliga average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Elversberg's matches and 57% of Mainz 05's.
What form are Elversberg and Mainz 05 in?
Over the last 5 games Elversberg have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mainz 05 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Elversberg vs Mainz 05?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Elversberg vs Mainz 05: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.